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League One
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League One | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Blackpool

Derby
1 - 0
Blackpool

Adams (40')
Sibley (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Dembele (33'), Critchley (34'), Coulson (60'), Norburn (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Derby County and Blackpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
Last Game: Northampton 1-0 Derby
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League One

Blackpool

All competitions
Last Game: Wigan 1-0 Blackpool
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One

We said: Derby County 2-1 Blackpool

 Derby remain without a number of first-team players, but the Rams still have a lot of quality in their team, and we are backing them to edge a close game on Friday afternoon, with Blackpool likely to suffer if they are unable to call upon leading goalscorer Rhodes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 50.48%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Blackpool had a probability of 23.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Blackpool win it was 0-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Derby County in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Derby County.

Result
Derby CountyDrawBlackpool
50.48% (0.196 0.2) 25.73% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05) 23.79% (-0.145 -0.15)
Both teams to score 48.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.45% (0.075000000000003 0.08)54.55% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.1% (0.061 0.06)75.9% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.35% (0.11499999999999 0.11)21.64% (-0.116 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.23% (0.177 0.18)54.77% (-0.18 -0.18)
Blackpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.83% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)38.17% (0.089999999999996 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.06% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)74.93% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 50.48%
    Blackpool 23.79%
    Draw 25.73%
Derby CountyDrawBlackpool
1-0 @ 12.64% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.68% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.32% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.94% (0.038 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.75% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.89% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.82% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 50.48%
1-1 @ 12.17% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.26% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.49% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 25.73%
0-1 @ 7.96% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-2 @ 5.86% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.83% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.23% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 23.79%

How you voted: Derby vs Blackpool

Derby County
72.0%
Draw
16.0%
Blackpool
12.0%
25
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Blackpool
1-3
Derby
Dougall (73')
Connolly (30')
Smith (54'), Collins (71'), Waghorn (89')
Forsyth (32')
> Preview
Aug 8, 2023 7.45pm
First Round
Derby
0-2
Blackpool

Forsyth (55')
Beesley (7', 32')
Trybull (84'), O'Donnell (88')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
Blackpool
0-2
Derby

Connolly (81')
Ebiowei (73'), Cashin (82')
Davies (84'), Ebosele (88')
> Preview
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 22
Derby
1-0
Blackpool
Plange (51')
Jozwiak (54'), Lawrence (75')

Carey (42'), Anderson (54')
> Preview
Apr 14, 2015 7.45pm
Derby
4-0
Blackpool
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham21154237162149
2Wrexham23146335161948
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe22145347242347
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield22134536191743
5Stockport CountyStockport23107635241137
6Reading2211473632437
7Barnsley2310673432236
8Bolton WanderersBolton2110473231134
9Charlton AthleticCharlton229672721633
10Leyton Orient229492820831
11Mansfield TownMansfield219482724331
12Lincoln CityLincoln238782829-131
13Exeter CityExeter229492627-131
14Stevenage218581820-229
15Blackpool227783033-328
16Wigan AthleticWigan227692120127
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham216692023-324
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2273123943-424
19Northampton TownNorthampton2357112339-1622
20Bristol Rovers2264121935-1622
21Crawley TownCrawley2255122440-1620
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2245132139-1817
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2244142342-1916
24Burton Albion2227131835-1713
> League One Full Table


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