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Championship header 2

League One
Blackpool
League One | Gameweek 11
Oct 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Bloomfield Road
Derby logo

Blackpool
1 - 3
Derby

Dougall (73')
Connolly (30')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Smith (54'), Collins (71'), Waghorn (89')
Forsyth (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Blackpool and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Blackpool

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Barnsley 0-1 Blackpool
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One

Derby County

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Derby 0-0 Cambridge
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One

We said: Blackpool 1-1 Derby County

 With Blackpool and Derby separated by just one point in the league table, we expect Tuesday's contest to produce a close-fought affair, which may result in the spoils being shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Blackpool had a probability of 34.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Blackpool win was 1-0 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.

Result
BlackpoolDrawDerby County
34.67% (-0.218 -0.22) 26.95% (0.068999999999999 0.07) 38.39% (0.149 0.15)
Both teams to score 50.97% (-0.242 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.75% (-0.297 -0.3)54.25% (0.296 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.35% (-0.247 -0.25)75.65% (0.24799999999999 0.25)
Blackpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.28% (-0.283 -0.28)29.72% (0.284 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.22% (-0.346 -0.35)65.78% (0.34699999999999 0.35)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.52% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)27.48% (0.053999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.02% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)62.98% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Blackpool 34.67%
    Derby County 38.38%
    Draw 26.95%
BlackpoolDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 9.91% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.77% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.01% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.14% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.43% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.03% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-1 @ 0.95% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 34.67%
1-1 @ 12.8% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.17% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.02% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.95%
0-1 @ 10.54% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 8.27% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.81% (0.057 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.56% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-3 @ 2.93% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.15% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 0.95% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 38.38%

How you voted: Blackpool vs Derby

Blackpool
46.7%
Draw
13.3%
Derby County
40.0%
15
Head to Head
Aug 8, 2023 7.45pm
First Round
Derby
0-2
Blackpool

Forsyth (55')
Beesley (7', 32')
Trybull (84'), O'Donnell (88')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
Blackpool
0-2
Derby

Connolly (81')
Ebiowei (73'), Cashin (82')
Davies (84'), Ebosele (88')
> Preview
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 22
Derby
1-0
Blackpool
Plange (51')
Jozwiak (54'), Lawrence (75')

Carey (42'), Anderson (54')
> Preview
Apr 14, 2015 7.45pm
Derby
4-0
Blackpool
> Preview
Oct 21, 2014 7.45pm
Blackpool
0-1
Derby
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe1282226161026
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport135622012821
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
22Crawley TownCrawley133191225-1310
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion120481325-124
> League One Full Table


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