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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Blackpool had a probability of 34.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Blackpool win was 1-0 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.
Result | ||
Blackpool | Draw | Derby County |
34.67% ( -0.22) | 26.95% ( 0.07) | 38.39% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 50.97% ( -0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.75% ( -0.3) | 54.25% ( 0.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.35% ( -0.25) | 75.65% ( 0.25) |
Blackpool Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.28% ( -0.28) | 29.72% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.22% ( -0.35) | 65.78% ( 0.35) |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.52% ( -0.05) | 27.48% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.02% ( -0.07) | 62.98% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Blackpool | Draw | Derby County |
1-0 @ 9.91% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.77% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.42% Total : 34.67% | 1-1 @ 12.8% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.95% | 0-1 @ 10.54% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.27% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.56% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.01% Total : 38.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Exeter CityExeter | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |