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Championship header 2

League One
Blackpool
League One | Gameweek 11
Oct 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Bloomfield Road
Derby logo

Blackpool
1 - 3
Derby

Dougall (73')
Connolly (30')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Smith (54'), Collins (71'), Waghorn (89')
Forsyth (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Blackpool and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Blackpool

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Barnsley 0-1 Blackpool
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One

Derby County

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Derby 0-0 Cambridge
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One

We said: Blackpool 1-1 Derby County

 With Blackpool and Derby separated by just one point in the league table, we expect Tuesday's contest to produce a close-fought affair, which may result in the spoils being shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Blackpool had a probability of 34.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Blackpool win was 1-0 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.

Result
BlackpoolDrawDerby County
34.67% (-0.218 -0.22) 26.95% (0.068999999999999 0.07) 38.39% (0.149 0.15)
Both teams to score 50.97% (-0.242 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.75% (-0.297 -0.3)54.25% (0.296 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.35% (-0.247 -0.25)75.65% (0.24799999999999 0.25)
Blackpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.28% (-0.283 -0.28)29.72% (0.284 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.22% (-0.346 -0.35)65.78% (0.34699999999999 0.35)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.52% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)27.48% (0.053999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.02% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)62.98% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Blackpool 34.67%
    Derby County 38.38%
    Draw 26.95%
BlackpoolDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 9.91% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.77% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.01% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.14% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.43% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.03% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-1 @ 0.95% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 34.67%
1-1 @ 12.8% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.17% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.02% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.95%
0-1 @ 10.54% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 8.27% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.81% (0.057 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.56% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-3 @ 2.93% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.15% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 0.95% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 38.38%

How you voted: Blackpool vs Derby

Blackpool
46.7%
Draw
13.3%
Derby County
40.0%
15
Head to Head
Aug 8, 2023 7.45pm
First Round
Derby
0-2
Blackpool

Forsyth (55')
Beesley (7', 32')
Trybull (84'), O'Donnell (88')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
Blackpool
0-2
Derby

Connolly (81')
Ebiowei (73'), Cashin (82')
Davies (84'), Ebosele (88')
> Preview
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 22
Derby
1-0
Blackpool
Plange (51')
Jozwiak (54'), Lawrence (75')

Carey (42'), Anderson (54')
> Preview
Apr 14, 2015 7.45pm
Derby
4-0
Blackpool
> Preview
Oct 21, 2014 7.45pm
Blackpool
0-1
Derby
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton2511593839-138
10Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
11Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
12Charlton AthleticCharlton249782925434
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Blackpool2571083437-331
15Stevenage248791922-331
16Exeter CityExeter2594122832-431
17Wigan AthleticWigan2486102324-130
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2575134146-526
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118
24Burton Albion2529142139-1815
> League One Full Table


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