League One | Gameweek 36
Mar 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Derby3 - 0Port Vale
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Derby 1-2 Charlton
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in League One
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 2-2 Fleetwood
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in League One
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in League One
We said: Derby County 2-0 Port Vale
Derby may enter Saturday's contest off the back of consecutive defeats, but we think that they will do enough to get the better of a Port Vale side that has lost each of their last four away matches. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 65.06%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 14.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.45%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Port Vale win it was 0-1 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Port Vale |
65.06% ( -0.01) | 20.31% | 14.63% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 49.5% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
