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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 28
Jan 25, 2025 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Blackpool

Exeter
1 - 3
Blackpool

Alli (82')
Niskanen (86'), Niskanen (86')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Hamilton (33'), Bloxham (43'), Fletcher (45+1')
Carey (13'), Tyrer (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Blackpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Peterborough 1-1 Exeter
Tuesday, January 21 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Blackpool 2-2 Huddersfield
Saturday, January 18 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 2-2 Blackpool

While Exeter City have the home advantage in this match, Blackpool have been difficult to beat on the road recently, losing only one of their last six away games since the end of November. We are expecting a close contest at St James Park on Saturday and feel that these two will end up having to settle for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Blackpool would win this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawBlackpool
34.24% (-0.531 -0.53) 25.68% (0.063000000000002 0.06) 40.08% (0.465 0.47)
Both teams to score 55.05% (-0.325 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51% (-0.375 -0.38)49% (0.372 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.91% (-0.342 -0.34)71.08% (0.33799999999999 0.34)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.58% (-0.501 -0.5)27.42% (0.498 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.1% (-0.653 -0.65)62.9% (0.65 0.65)
Blackpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.85% (0.072000000000003 0.07)24.15% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.53% (0.106 0.11)58.46% (-0.11 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 34.24%
    Blackpool 40.08%
    Draw 25.67%
Exeter CityDrawBlackpool
1-0 @ 8.57% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.88% (-0.085 -0.09)
2-0 @ 5.54% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.4% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.39% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 34.24%
1-1 @ 12.17% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.62% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.6% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.67%
0-1 @ 9.41% (0.162 0.16)
1-2 @ 8.65% (0.047999999999998 0.05)
0-2 @ 6.68% (0.13 0.13)
1-3 @ 4.1% (0.031 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.17% (0.068 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.65% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.46% (0.014 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.13% (0.027 0.03)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 40.08%

How you voted: Exeter vs Blackpool

Exeter City
25.0%
Draw
50.0%
Blackpool
25.0%
8
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 6
Blackpool
2-1
Exeter
Hamilton (19'), Husband (90+4')
Offiah (10'), Norburn (21'), Joseph (58'), Gabriel (75'), Evans (85'), Rhodes (87'), Tyrer (90+6')
Francis (88')
Woods (57'), Niskanen (70'), Crama (81'), Aitchison (85')
Jan 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 28
Blackpool
2-0
Exeter
Morgan (39', 49')
Morgan (42'), Coulson (58'), Connolly (78'), Virtue (86')

Hartridge (8'), Cole (27'), Sweeney (35'), Aitchison (41'), Diabate (90+2')
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Exeter
0-0
Blackpool
Carroll (14'), Caldwell (15'), Scott (82')
Hamilton (51')
Nov 10, 2018 3pm
First Round
Exeter
2-3
Blackpool
Tillson (69'), Abrahams (90')
Tillson (81')
Dodoo (2'), Cullen (19'), Pritchard (24')
Dodoo (72')
May 28, 2017 3pm
Final
Blackpool
2-1
Exeter
Potts (3'), Cullen (65')
Cullen (58'), Osayi-Samuel (66'), Slocombe (92'), Flores (93'), Daniel (95')
Wheeler (40')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham25176243182557
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe27167452282455
3Wrexham27157539211852
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield26146639221748
5Stockport CountyStockport27128742281444
6Barnsley2712694037342
7Leyton Orient26125934221241
8Reading2612594038241
9Bolton WanderersBolton27125104041-141
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2611783226640
11Lincoln CityLincoln2710893431338
12Mansfield TownMansfield25114103431337
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham2697103030034
14Blackpool2681083738-134
15Stevenage259792022-234
16Wigan AthleticWigan2696112626033
17Exeter CityExeter2795133036-632
18Bristol Rovers2684142541-1628
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2776144352-927
20Northampton TownNorthampton2769122440-1627
21Burton Albion2749142742-1521
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2656152747-2021
23Crawley TownCrawley2556142546-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2655162646-2020


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