Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 37.75%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 37.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 1-2 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match.