We said: Exeter City 1-0 Bristol Rovers
Neither side come into this match in the best form, though Exeter may have gained some confidence having won last time out.
Additionally, with the Gas' struggles in front of goal it is difficult to see them scoring in this game, and the Grecians can be expected to pick up all three points in a narrow win.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 48.74%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 25.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (7.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.