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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 22
Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Bristol Rovers

Exeter
3 - 1
Bristol Rovers

Fitzwater (72'), Alli (78'), Richards (90+6')
Niskanen (13'), McDonald (44')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Omochere (61')
Conteh (30'), Lindsay (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League One clash between Exeter City and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burton Albion 1-2 Exeter
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Wrexham
Saturday, December 21 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 1-0 Bristol Rovers

Neither side come into this match in the best form, though Exeter may have gained some confidence having won last time out. Additionally, with the Gas' struggles in front of goal it is difficult to see them scoring in this game, and the Grecians can be expected to pick up all three points in a narrow win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 48.74%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 25.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (7.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawBristol Rovers
48.74% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 25.64%25.62% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.47% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.23% (0.021000000000001 0.02)52.77% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.6% (0.016999999999999 0.02)74.4% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.33% (0.00099999999999056 0)21.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.19%54.81% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.44% (0.031000000000006 0.03)35.56% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.67% (0.033000000000001 0.03)72.33% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 48.73%
    Bristol Rovers 25.62%
    Draw 25.64%
Exeter CityDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 11.78% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.01% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.75%
3-0 @ 4.59% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.46% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.82%
4-0 @ 1.76% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 48.73%
1-1 @ 12.18%
0-0 @ 7.71% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.82% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 25.64%
0-1 @ 7.97%
1-2 @ 6.3% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.12% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 2.17% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.42% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 25.62%

How you voted: Exeter vs Bristol Rovers

Exeter City
37.5%
Draw
12.5%
Bristol Rovers
50.0%
8
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2024 7pm
Group Stage
Bristol Rovers
2-3
Exeter
Taylor (31'), Hutchinson (67')
Bilongo (33'), Forde (90')
Bird (19'), Alli (49'), Mitchell (88')
Watts (35'), Francis (42')
Feb 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 31
Exeter
0-1
Bristol Rovers

Diabate (45')
Aguilera (15')
Wilson (17'), Hunt (64'), Crama (80')
Jan 23, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Bristol Rovers
0-1
Exeter

Evans (90+3')
Cox (12')
Cole (77'), Wildschut (90+7')
Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Bristol Rovers
3-4
Exeter
Collins (57'), Coburn (64'), Sinclair (74' pen.)
Nombe (13', 90+2'), Collins (45+2'), Dieng (85')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Exeter
2-2
Bristol Rovers
Brown (72' pen.), Nombe (82')
Marquis (63'), Loft (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton2511593839-138
10Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
11Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
12Charlton AthleticCharlton249782925434
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Blackpool2571083437-331
15Stevenage248791922-331
16Exeter CityExeter2594122832-431
17Wigan AthleticWigan2486102324-130
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2575134146-526
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118
24Burton Albion2529142139-1815


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