League One | Gameweek 29
Jan 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
St James Park
We said: Exeter City 1-2 Cambridge United
Cambridge have been dismal on the road so far this season, but they were minutes away from claiming a draw against Oxford having drawn away to Charlton Athletic in Harris' first away match in charge. Exeter have improved at home lately, but remain in a difficult position in the table.
As such, we can envisage Cambridge finally ending their winless streak on their travels on Saturday, and putting a sizeable gap between themselves and the relegation zone in the process.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 51.51% . A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 23.84% .
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (9.31%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%) , while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (7.17%) . The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood .
Result Exeter City Draw Cambridge United 51.51% ( 0.01) 24.65% ( -0.02) 23.84% ( 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.72% ( 0.1)
49.73% ( 0.12) 50.27% ( -0.12)
27.78% ( 0.11) 72.22% ( -0.11)
80.5% ( 0.05) 19.51% ( -0.05)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 48.61% ( 0.08) 51.39% ( -0.08)
64.25% ( 0.09) 35.75% ( -0.09)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 27.48% ( 0.09) 72.52% ( -0.09)
Exeter City 51.5%
Cambridge United 23.84%
Draw 24.65%
Exeter City Draw Cambridge United 1-0 @ 11.39% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.31% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.22% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.07% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.07% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.93% Total : 51.5% 1-1 @ 11.72% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.65% 0-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.69% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( 0) Other @ 1.93% Total : 23.84%
How you voted: Exeter vs Cambridge
Exeter City
Draw
Cambridge United
7
rhs 2.0
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