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Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Cambridge United

Oxford Utd
2 - 1
Cambridge

Goodrham (54'), Brown (90+5')
Brown (44'), Brannagan (72')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cousins (30')
Thomas (53'), May (74'), Stevens (90+2'), Brophy (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Oxford United and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Oxford United 2-1 Cambridge United

Cambridge are in a good moment but their away form is a major source of concern coming into this match. Oxford, on the other hand, have been solid at home, and should come out on top in the battle of the U's. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 66.3%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 13.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.5%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Oxford United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Oxford United.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawCambridge United
66.3% (0.047000000000011 0.05) 20.28% (0.02 0.02) 13.42% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Both teams to score 46.46% (-0.253 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.45% (-0.239 -0.24)47.54% (0.23 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.24% (-0.22 -0.22)69.75% (0.212 0.21)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.53% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)13.46% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.54% (-0.11900000000001 -0.12)40.46% (0.111 0.11)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.68% (-0.257 -0.26)46.31% (0.251 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.04% (-0.199 -0.2)81.96% (0.191 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 66.29%
    Cambridge United 13.42%
    Draw 20.28%
Oxford UnitedDrawCambridge United
2-0 @ 12.53% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
1-0 @ 12.5% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 8.38% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.45% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 4.2% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 3.23% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.68% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.3% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 66.29%
1-1 @ 9.62% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.24% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.71% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 20.28%
0-1 @ 4.8% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.7% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.85% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 0.95% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-3 @ 0.95% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 13.42%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Cambridge

Oxford United
85.7%
Draw
7.1%
Cambridge United
7.1%
14
Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Cambridge
2-0
Oxford Utd
Lankester (15'), Ahadme (28')
Brophy (10'), Lankester (43'), Janneh (44'), Kachunga (90+5')

Rodrigues (12')
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Oxford Utd
1-0
Cambridge
Goodrham (90+3')
Findlay (18'), Browne (47')

Dunk (36')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 36
Oxford Utd
4-2
Cambridge
Taylor (36'), Brannagan (64', 90'), Baldock (72')
Brannagan (9'), Whyte (45+1')
Smith (6', 56')
Brophy (10'), Dunk (21'), O'Neil (90+2')
Aug 31, 2021 7pm
Group Stage
Cambridge
4-1
Oxford Utd
Smith (45', 45+3'), Knibbs (80'), Yearn (90+2')
May (63')
Agyei (71')
Cooper (42'), Johnson (53')
McNally (45+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton26115103941-238
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2510783126537
11Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
12Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Exeter CityExeter2695122933-432
15Blackpool2571083437-331
16Stevenage248791922-331
17Wigan AthleticWigan2586112426-230
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2676134247-527
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Burton Albion2639142340-1718
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118


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