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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 44.98%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 29.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cambridge United would win this match.
Result | ||
Cambridge United | Draw | Exeter City |
44.98% ( -0.03) | 25.42% ( 0.05) | 29.6% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 54.08% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.56% ( -0.23) | 49.44% ( 0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.52% ( -0.21) | 71.48% ( 0.2) |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.04% ( -0.11) | 21.96% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.75% ( -0.17) | 55.25% ( 0.16) |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.29% ( -0.13) | 30.7% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.04% ( -0.16) | 66.96% ( 0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Cambridge United | Draw | Exeter City |
1-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.62% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.92% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.33% Total : 44.98% | 1-1 @ 12.06% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( -0) Other @ 3.03% Total : 29.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 24 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 42 | 17 | 25 | 56 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 54 |
3 | Wrexham | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 48 |
5 | Barnsley | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 42 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 41 |
7 | Reading | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 41 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 38 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 38 |
10 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 37 |
11 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 37 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 35 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 34 |
14 | Exeter CityExeter | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 32 |
15 | Blackpool | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Stevenage | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 31 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 30 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 28 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 27 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 26 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 25 | 44 | -19 | 21 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 20 |
23 | Burton Albion | 26 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 23 | 40 | -17 | 18 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 45 | -21 | 18 |
> League One Full Table |