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Cambridge United
League One | Gameweek 23
Dec 22, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Abbey Stadium
Exeter City

Cambridge
2 - 0
Exeter

Ahadme (17' pen.), Kachunga (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Carroll (20'), Cole (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Cambridge United and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 1-1 Exeter
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League One

We said: Cambridge United 2-1 Exeter City

Both teams will view Friday's fixture as a winnable game in their quest to climb further adrift of the bottom four, but the momentum is with a rejuvenated Cambridge outfit and they should have enough firepower at their disposal to outscore Exeter on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 44.98%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 29.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cambridge United would win this match.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawExeter City
44.98% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03) 25.42% (0.052 0.05) 29.6% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.08% (-0.17899999999999 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.56% (-0.228 -0.23)49.44% (0.22499999999999 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.52% (-0.205 -0.21)71.48% (0.20099999999999 0.2)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.04% (-0.11 -0.11)21.96% (0.106 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.75% (-0.166 -0.17)55.25% (0.163 0.16)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.29% (-0.134 -0.13)30.7% (0.129 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.04% (-0.156 -0.16)66.96% (0.15299999999999 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 44.98%
    Exeter City 29.6%
    Draw 25.41%
Cambridge UnitedDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 10.22% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.15% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.75% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.62% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.92% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.48% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 44.98%
1-1 @ 12.06% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.74% (0.061 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.41%
0-1 @ 7.96% (0.044 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.13% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.7% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.81% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.85% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 29.6%

How you voted: Cambridge vs Exeter

Cambridge United
70.6%
Draw
5.9%
Exeter City
23.5%
17
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Exeter
2-0
Cambridge
Collins (18'), McDonald (53')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
Cambridge
2-1
Exeter
Smith (60'), Digby (88')
Digby (29'), Dunk (44'), Lankester (90+6')
Brown (39')
Sweeney (45+1'), Coley (86')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Second Round
Cambridge
2-1
Exeter
May (23'), Knibbs (88')
Okedina (9')
Nombe (10' pen.)
Caprice (60'), Ray (82'), Dawson (88'), Collins (90+8')
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 41
Cambridge
1-4
Exeter
Ironside (55')
Iredale (12'), Ironside (41'), Knoyle (50'), Digby (90')
Bowman (3'), Sparkes (15'), Collins (67'), Jay (80')
Bowman (50')
Oct 3, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 4
Exeter
2-0
Cambridge
Jay (16' pen.), Randall (34')
Parkes (58'), Taylor (77'), McArdle (90+2')

Digby (41'), Dunk (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton26115103941-238
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2510783126537
11Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
12Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Exeter CityExeter2695122933-432
15Blackpool2571083437-331
16Stevenage248791922-331
17Wigan AthleticWigan2586112426-230
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2676134247-527
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Burton Albion2639142340-1718
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118


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