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League One | Gameweek 43
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Stevenage

Exeter
1 - 0
Stevenage

Cole (38')
Carroll (22'), Hemmings (69'), Thompson (90+3'), Sweeney (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Butler (7'), Thompson (47'), Watts (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cheltenham 1-2 Exeter
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 0-0 Stevenage
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 1-1 Stevenage

Exeter will be feeling good about themselves at the moment due to their strong form, and they will be hosting a Stevenage side that are currently struggling to put wins on the board. This match could go either way, but we are expecting the points to be shared in a low-scoring draw on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 43.1%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 30.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
Exeter CityDrawStevenage
30.14% (0.044999999999998 0.04) 26.75% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 43.1% (-0.064 -0.06)
Both teams to score 50.2% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.4% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)54.6% (0.053999999999995 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.06% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)75.94% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.03% (0.0020000000000095 0)32.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.44% (0.0040000000000013 0)69.56% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.89% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)25.11% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.19% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)59.81% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 30.14%
    Stevenage 43.1%
    Draw 26.75%
Exeter CityDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 9.19% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.04% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 5.1% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.89% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 30.14%
1-1 @ 12.69% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.28% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.75%
0-1 @ 11.44% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.77% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.91% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.04% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.64% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.4% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.26% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 43.1%

How you voted: Exeter vs Stevenage

Exeter City
50.0%
Draw
12.5%
Stevenage
37.5%
8
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Stevenage
1-1
Exeter
Piergianni (45+1')
Butler (53')
Wildschut (47')
Aitchison (23'), Caldwell (24'), Taylor (43'), Sweeney (46'), Sinisalo (64'), Niskanen (75')
Aitchison (43')
Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm
Second Round
Exeter
1-1
Stevenage
Exeter win 5-3 on penalties
Hartridge (5')
Trevitt (8'), Sweeney (30')
Roberts (69')
Evans (9'), Butler (63'), Thompson (89')
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 39
Exeter
2-1
Stevenage
Stubbs (28', 44')
Key (69'), Sweeney (90')
Norris (38')
Cuthbert (18'), Barry (90+4')
Oct 9, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 11
Stevenage
2-2
Exeter
List (23', 59')
Taylor (57'), Cuthbert (66')
Nombe (10'), Jay (50')
Sweeney (29'), Hartridge (44'), Ray (47'), Atangana (84')
Feb 2, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 19
Stevenage
0-1
Exeter

Coker (55')
McArdle (28')
Sweeney (49')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe16122236181838
2Wrexham17104326111534
3Birmingham CityBirmingham15103228151333
4Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield1692525151029
6Barnsley177642622427
7Reading168352624227
8Bolton WanderersBolton168352526-127
9Lincoln CityLincoln177552321226
10Mansfield TownMansfield157352017324
11Exeter CityExeter167271415-123
12Charlton AthleticCharlton166461717022
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
14Bristol Rovers176381723-621
15Wigan AthleticWigan165561513220
16Blackpool175572430-620
17Stevenage165471116-519
18Northampton TownNorthampton174671923-418
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient164391420-615
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge163491425-1113
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion1615101529-148


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