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League One
Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 39
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Burton Albion

Exeter
1 - 0
Burton Albion

Cole (41')
Sweeney (30'), Aitchison (43'), Carroll (65'), Cole (83')
Jules (45+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Caprice (2'), Harper (55'), Carayol (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-3 Exeter
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last Game: Portsmouth 2-1 Burton Albion
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 2-1 Burton Albion

 Boosted by their midweek win and meeting a Brewers side who are lacking any momentum, we back Exeter City to triumph on home turf on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Exeter City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Exeter City.

Result
Exeter CityDrawBurton Albion
44.29% (0.016999999999996 0.02) 26.53% (0.0030000000000001 0) 29.19% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.38% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.86% (-0.012 -0.01)54.14% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.45% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)75.55% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.69% (0.0040000000000049 0)24.31% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.3% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)58.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.56% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)33.44% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.93% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)70.07% (0.021999999999991 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 44.28%
    Burton Albion 29.19%
    Draw 26.52%
Exeter CityDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 11.49%
2-1 @ 8.91%
2-0 @ 8.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.2% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.83% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.48%
4-0 @ 1.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 44.28%
1-1 @ 12.59%
0-0 @ 8.13% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-2 @ 4.88% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.52%
0-1 @ 8.91%
1-2 @ 6.9% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 4.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.52% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.78% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 29.19%

How you voted: Exeter vs Burton Albion

Exeter City
72.7%
Draw
18.2%
Burton Albion
9.1%
11
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Burton Albion
0-1
Exeter

Powell (26'), Moon (59'), Seddon (81')
Seddon (90+4')
Trevitt (75')
Cole (45+3')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Burton Albion
1-0
Exeter
Winnall (84')
> Preview
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Exeter
0-2
Burton Albion
Oshilaja (63'), Keillor-Dunn (69')
Jul 22, 2016 7.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Exeter
1-0
Burton Albion
Watkins (56')
Dec 6, 2014 7.45pm
Exeter
1-1
Burton Albion
Ribeiro (87')
Blyth (60')
McCrory (93')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628
> League One Full Table


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