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League One
Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 39
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Burton Albion

Exeter
1 - 0
Burton Albion

Cole (41')
Sweeney (30'), Aitchison (43'), Carroll (65'), Cole (83')
Jules (45+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Caprice (2'), Harper (55'), Carayol (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-3 Exeter
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last Game: Portsmouth 2-1 Burton Albion
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 2-1 Burton Albion

 Boosted by their midweek win and meeting a Brewers side who are lacking any momentum, we back Exeter City to triumph on home turf on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Exeter City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Exeter City.

Result
Exeter CityDrawBurton Albion
44.29% (0.016999999999996 0.02) 26.53% (0.0030000000000001 0) 29.19% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.38% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.86% (-0.012 -0.01)54.14% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.45% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)75.55% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.69% (0.0040000000000049 0)24.31% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.3% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)58.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.56% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)33.44% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.93% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)70.07% (0.021999999999991 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 44.28%
    Burton Albion 29.19%
    Draw 26.52%
Exeter CityDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 11.49%
2-1 @ 8.91%
2-0 @ 8.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.2% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.83% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.48%
4-0 @ 1.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 44.28%
1-1 @ 12.59%
0-0 @ 8.13% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-2 @ 4.88% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.52%
0-1 @ 8.91%
1-2 @ 6.9% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 4.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.52% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.78% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 29.19%

How you voted: Exeter vs Burton Albion

Exeter City
72.7%
Draw
18.2%
Burton Albion
9.1%
11
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Burton Albion
0-1
Exeter

Powell (26'), Moon (59'), Seddon (81')
Seddon (90+4')
Trevitt (75')
Cole (45+3')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Burton Albion
1-0
Exeter
Winnall (84')
> Preview
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Exeter
0-2
Burton Albion
Oshilaja (63'), Keillor-Dunn (69')
Jul 22, 2016 7.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Exeter
1-0
Burton Albion
Watkins (56')
Dec 6, 2014 7.45pm
Exeter
1-1
Burton Albion
Ribeiro (87')
Blyth (60')
McCrory (93')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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