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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
Result | ||
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Exeter City |
39.58% ( 0.21) | 26.03% ( -0.04) | 34.39% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 53.91% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.52% ( 0.12) | 50.48% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.59% ( 0.11) | 72.4% ( -0.11) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.92% ( 0.17) | 25.08% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.23% ( 0.24) | 59.76% ( -0.24) |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.95% ( -0.05) | 28.04% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.3% ( -0.07) | 63.7% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Exeter City |
1-0 @ 9.73% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.58% Total : 39.58% | 1-1 @ 12.36% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.02% | 0-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.86% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.8% Total : 34.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 26 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 44 | 18 | 26 | 60 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 28 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 58 |
3 | Wrexham | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 24 | 17 | 52 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 23 | 16 | 48 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 28 | 15 | 47 |
6 | Leyton Orient | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 40 | 24 | 16 | 44 |
7 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 44 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 43 |
9 | Barnsley | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 42 |
10 | Reading | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 41 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 38 |
12 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 37 |
13 | Blackpool | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 37 |
14 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 37 |
15 | Stevenage | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 37 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 33 |
17 | Exeter CityExeter | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 32 |
18 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 30 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 28 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 27 |
21 | Burton Albion | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 24 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 24 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 28 | 49 | -21 | 21 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 26 | 47 | -21 | 20 |
> League One Full Table |