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League One
Cheltenham Town
League One | Gameweek 42
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Exeter City

Cheltenham
1 - 2
Exeter

Williams (51')
Kinsella (39'), Thomas (59'), Nuttall (60'), Long (84'), Harrop (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Harris (56'), Cole (90' pen.)
Sweeney (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-2 Cheltenham
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One

Exeter City

All competitions
Last Game: Exeter 1-1 Charlton
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Cheltenham Town 0-1 Exeter City

 Both sides have struggled for goals this season, scoring just 32 and 34 respectively, and we expect those problems to continue with a low-scoring affair in this one. Exeter won 1-0 in the reverse fixture of this clash in September, and we believe this one will end in the same result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawExeter City
39.58% (0.212 0.21) 26.03% (-0.037000000000003 -0.04) 34.39% (-0.18 -0.18)
Both teams to score 53.91% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.52% (0.123 0.12)50.48% (-0.128 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.59% (0.106 0.11)72.4% (-0.113 -0.11)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.92% (0.167 0.17)25.08% (-0.173 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.23% (0.236 0.24)59.76% (-0.241 -0.24)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.95% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)28.04% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.3% (-0.067 -0.07)63.7% (0.061 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 39.58%
    Exeter City 34.39%
    Draw 26.02%
Cheltenham TownDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 9.73% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-1 @ 8.55% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.73% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.94% (0.033 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.1% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.51% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.36% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.07% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 39.58%
1-1 @ 12.36% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.03% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.44% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.02%
0-1 @ 8.94% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7.86% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.68% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.33% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.41% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.31% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.06% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 34.39%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Exeter

Cheltenham Town
20.0%
Draw
30.0%
Exeter City
50.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Exeter
1-0
Cheltenham
Watts (68')
Wildschut (38'), Scott (75'), Carroll (87')

Williams (18'), Williams (61')
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 37
Cheltenham
3-1
Exeter
Keena (17'), Taylor (74'), May (79')
Key (69')
> Preview
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Exeter
0-1
Cheltenham
N'Lundulu (56')
Long (77'), Southwood (79'), Williams (80'), Freestone (90+3')
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
Cheltenham
0-7
Exeter

Lloyd (38'), Horton (63')
Nombe (23', 35'), Collins (26'), Jay (28'), Sparkes (45+1'), Kite (50'), Coley (84')
> Preview
Oct 5, 2021 7pm
Group Stage
Cheltenham
2-2
Exeter
 Exeter win 3-2 on penalties
Chapman (37'), Miles (70')
Daniel (8'), Collins (38')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham26186244182660
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe28177454292558
3Wrexham28157641241752
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield27146739231648
5Stockport CountyStockport28138743281547
6Leyton Orient27135940241644
7Bolton WanderersBolton28135104342144
8Charlton AthleticCharlton2712783426843
9Barnsley28126104139242
10Reading27125104241141
11Lincoln CityLincoln28108103433138
12Mansfield TownMansfield26114113432237
13Blackpool2791083938137
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham27107103231137
15Stevenage2610792324-137
16Wigan AthleticWigan2796122627-133
17Exeter CityExeter2895143242-1032
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
20Northampton TownNorthampton2869132543-1827
21Burton Albion2859143044-1424
22Crawley TownCrawley2666142646-2024
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2756162849-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2755172647-2120
> League One Full Table


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