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League One
Cheltenham Town
League One | Gameweek 42
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Exeter City

Cheltenham
1 - 2
Exeter

Williams (51')
Kinsella (39'), Thomas (59'), Nuttall (60'), Long (84'), Harrop (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Harris (56'), Cole (90' pen.)
Sweeney (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-2 Cheltenham
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One

Exeter City

All competitions
Last Game: Exeter 1-1 Charlton
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Cheltenham Town 0-1 Exeter City

 Both sides have struggled for goals this season, scoring just 32 and 34 respectively, and we expect those problems to continue with a low-scoring affair in this one. Exeter won 1-0 in the reverse fixture of this clash in September, and we believe this one will end in the same result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawExeter City
39.58% (0.212 0.21) 26.03% (-0.037000000000003 -0.04) 34.39% (-0.18 -0.18)
Both teams to score 53.91% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.52% (0.123 0.12)50.48% (-0.128 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.59% (0.106 0.11)72.4% (-0.113 -0.11)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.92% (0.167 0.17)25.08% (-0.173 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.23% (0.236 0.24)59.76% (-0.241 -0.24)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.95% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)28.04% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.3% (-0.067 -0.07)63.7% (0.061 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 39.58%
    Exeter City 34.39%
    Draw 26.02%
Cheltenham TownDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 9.73% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-1 @ 8.55% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.73% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.94% (0.033 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.1% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.51% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.36% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.07% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 39.58%
1-1 @ 12.36% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.03% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.44% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.02%
0-1 @ 8.94% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7.86% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.68% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.33% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.41% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.31% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.06% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 34.39%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Exeter

Cheltenham Town
20.0%
Draw
30.0%
Exeter City
50.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Exeter
1-0
Cheltenham
Watts (68')
Wildschut (38'), Scott (75'), Carroll (87')

Williams (18'), Williams (61')
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 37
Cheltenham
3-1
Exeter
Keena (17'), Taylor (74'), May (79')
Key (69')
> Preview
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Exeter
0-1
Cheltenham
N'Lundulu (56')
Long (77'), Southwood (79'), Williams (80'), Freestone (90+3')
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
Cheltenham
0-7
Exeter

Lloyd (38'), Horton (63')
Nombe (23', 35'), Collins (26'), Jay (28'), Sparkes (45+1'), Kite (50'), Coley (84')
> Preview
Oct 5, 2021 7pm
Group Stage
Cheltenham
2-2
Exeter
 Exeter win 3-2 on penalties
Chapman (37'), Miles (70')
Daniel (8'), Collins (38')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton2511593839-138
10Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
11Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
12Charlton AthleticCharlton249782925434
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Blackpool2571083437-331
15Stevenage248791922-331
16Exeter CityExeter2594122832-431
17Wigan AthleticWigan2486102324-130
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2575134146-526
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118
24Burton Albion2529142139-1815
> League One Full Table


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