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League One
Peterborough United
League One | Gameweek 36
Mar 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Exeter City

Peterborough
2 - 1
Exeter

Mason-Clark (4'), Poku (68')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Carroll (36')
Harper (39'), Purrington (62'), Harris (84'), Rankine (85'), Niskanen (90+10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-1 Peterborough
Saturday, February 24 at 12pm in League One

Exeter City

All competitions
Last Game: Exeter 1-1 Fleetwood
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One

We said: Peterborough United 2-0 Exeter City

 Back-to-back away wins have allowed Peterborough to click into their playoff-clinching rhythm once again, meaning that the Posh should be confident of earning three points on Saturday. Exeter have only managed an uninspiring point against strugglers Fleetwood during their last three matches, and we believe that the Grecians' poor form will continue at Weston Homes Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 66.56%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 14.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 1-0 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.48%), while for a Exeter City win it was 1-2 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawExeter City
66.56% (0.346 0.35) 18.47% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09) 14.96% (-0.257 -0.26)
Both teams to score 56.85% (-0.341 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.07% (-0.127 -0.13)35.93% (0.128 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.98% (-0.141 -0.14)58.02% (0.142 0.14)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.99% (0.049999999999997 0.05)10.01% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.95% (0.113 0.11)33.05% (-0.111 -0.11)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.18% (-0.413 -0.41)36.82% (0.415 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.39% (-0.413 -0.41)73.6% (0.413 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 66.56%
    Exeter City 14.96%
    Draw 18.47%
Peterborough UnitedDrawExeter City
2-0 @ 9.76% (0.104 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.48% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
3-0 @ 7.49% (0.096 0.1)
3-1 @ 7.48% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.31% (0.063999999999999 0.06)
4-1 @ 4.31% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.74% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-2 @ 2.15% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.98% (0.034 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.98% (0.011 0.01)
5-2 @ 0.99% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 66.56%
1-1 @ 8.48% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 3.69% (0.023 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 18.47%
1-2 @ 4.23% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-1 @ 3.68% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.84% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.41% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 14.96%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Exeter

Peterborough United
66.7%
Draw
22.2%
Exeter City
11.1%
9
Head to Head
Feb 6, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Exeter
2-1
Peterborough
Cole (75'), Katongo (80' og.)
Niskanen (9')
Burrows (32' pen.)
Olakigbe (36'), Knight (90+5')
Olakigbe (55')
> Preview
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
Peterborough
3-1
Exeter
Hartridge (8' og.), Mason-Clark (41'), Clarke-Harris (70')
Harper (46')
> Preview
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Exeter
3-2
Peterborough
Dieng (28'), Nombe (86'), Brown (90+1')
Clarke-Harris (40'), Mason-Clark (81')
> Preview
Dec 4, 2018 7.15pm
Round of 32
Exeter
0-2
Peterborough

Ogbene (60'), Oates (84')
Toney (67'), Cummings (77')
Toney (60'), Maddison (70'), Woodyard (86')
Nov 9, 2013 3pm
Round One
Peterborough
2-0
Exeter
Assombalonga (72'), Mendez-Laing (79')
Assombalonga (37'), Ephraim (68')

Doherty (23')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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