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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 73.72%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 10.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.77%) and 3-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.65%), while for a Port Vale win it was 0-1 (3.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Ipswich Town | Draw | Port Vale |
73.72% ( -0.05) | 16.18% ( 0.02) | 10.1% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 49.52% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.3% ( -0.04) | 37.7% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.05% ( -0.05) | 59.94% ( 0.05) |
Ipswich Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.2% ( -0.02) | 8.8% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.82% ( -0.06) | 30.18% ( 0.06) |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.3% ( 0.02) | 45.7% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.51% ( 0.02) | 81.48% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Ipswich Town | Draw | Port Vale |
2-0 @ 11.87% 1-0 @ 9.77% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 9.62% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.54% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.95% 5-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.79% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 3.31% Total : 73.71% | 1-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.64% ( 0) Other @ 0.87% Total : 16.18% | 0-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.23% ( 0) 2-3 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 1.77% Total : 10.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 53 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 50 | 27 | 23 | 51 |
3 | Wrexham | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 37 | 18 | 19 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 47 |
5 | Barnsley | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 42 |
6 | Reading | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 41 |
7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 37 |
9 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 37 |
10 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 37 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 34 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 31 |
14 | Stevenage | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 31 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Blackpool | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 30 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 27 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 26 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 25 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 25 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 20 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 17 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 17 |
24 | Burton Albion | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 14 |
> League One Full Table |