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League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Port Vale

Accrington
3 - 0
Port Vale

Stevens (31' og.), Rodgers (40'), Presley (68' pen.)
Butler-Oyedeji (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Massey (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Accrington Stanley and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 5-0 Accrington
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 0-2 Cambridge
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: Accrington Stanley 1-1 Port Vale

Accrington and Port Vale played out a 1-1 draw when they met in February, and with both sides struggling for victories, we think that Friday's fixture will also finish all square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 56.31%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 19.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.76%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 1-0 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawPort Vale
19.73% (0.0030000000000001 0) 23.96% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 56.31% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.4% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.06% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)51.94% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.32% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)73.68% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)40.77% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.65% (-0.004999999999999 -0)77.35% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.72% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)18.28% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.65% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)49.35% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 19.73%
    Port Vale 56.31%
    Draw 23.95%
Accrington StanleyDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 6.69% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-1 @ 5.1%
2-0 @ 3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 1.53%
3-2 @ 1.3% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 19.73%
1-1 @ 11.36%
0-0 @ 7.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.33% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 23.95%
0-1 @ 12.66%
0-2 @ 10.76%
1-2 @ 9.66% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-3 @ 6.1% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 5.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 2.59% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 2.32% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 56.31%

Head to Head
Feb 7, 2023 7.45pm
Port Vale
1-1
Accrington
Worrall (57')
Ojo (30'), Smith (34'), A (63'), Benning (67')
Presley (52' pen.)
Fernandes (73'), McConville (88')
Rodgers (75')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
First Round
Port Vale
5-1
Accrington
Wilson (30', 73', 79'), Cass (85'), Lloyd (90+3')
Gibbons (36'), Jones (83')
Hamilton (85')
Conneely (79')
Bishop (70')
Jan 20, 2018 3pm
Accrington
3-2
Port Vale
McConville (52', 72'), Kee (54')
Jackson (61'), Johnson (78')
Pope (3'), Tonge (41')
Kay (65'), Worrall (77')
Sep 26, 2017 7.45pm
Port Vale
1-2
Accrington
Worrall (22')
Kay (50')
Kee (36', 62')
Rawson (87')
Feb 2, 2013 3pm
Port Vale
3-0
Accrington
Purse (54'), Hughes (50', 66')
Duffy (68')

Liddle (49'), Winnard (72')
Bennett (5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham35257358233582
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham36208850302068
4Charlton AthleticCharlton36189947311663
5Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
6Bolton WanderersBolton36186125954560
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading361610105145658
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool36121595448651
12Stevenage36139143437-348
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Exeter CityExeter35127163950-1143
17Bristol Rovers36126183955-1642
18Mansfield TownMansfield36118174150-941
19Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
20Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3679203866-2830
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3678213560-2529
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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