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League One
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League One | Gameweek 39
Apr 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Ipswich logo

Derby
0 - 2
Ipswich


Cashin (3'), McGoldrick (23'), Smith (60'), White (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Chaplin (17'), Hirst (76')
Clarke (41'), Walton (51'), Burns (90+1')
Coverage of the League One clash between Derby County and Ipswich Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
Last Game: Peterborough 2-0 Derby
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League One

Ipswich Town

All competitions
Last Game: Ipswich 2-0 Shrewsbury
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 41.02%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Derby CountyDrawIpswich Town
33.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 25.5% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01) 41.02% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.44% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.59% (0.049000000000007 0.05)48.41% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.45% (0.044 0.04)70.55% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.39% (0.019000000000005 0.02)27.61% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.86% (0.027999999999999 0.03)63.14% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.59% (0.025999999999996 0.03)23.41% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.6% (0.042999999999999 0.04)57.4% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 33.48%
    Ipswich Town 41.02%
    Draw 25.5%
Derby CountyDrawIpswich Town
1-0 @ 8.32% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.77%
2-0 @ 5.35% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 3.34% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.42% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.3%
4-1 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 33.48%
1-1 @ 12.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.46% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.64% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.5%
0-1 @ 9.38% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 6.81% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 4.24% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 3.3% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.73% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.2% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 0.99% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 41.02%

How you voted: Derby vs Ipswich

Derby County
0.0%
Draw
9.1%
Ipswich Town
90.9%
11
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2022 8pm
Ipswich
1-0
Derby
Burns (67')
Morsy (10')
Feb 13, 2019 7.45pm
Ipswich
1-1
Derby
Nolan (55')
Bishop (57'), Chalobah (63'), Pennington (94')
Lawrence (2')
Waghorn (21'), Holmes (57'), Bennett (85'), Johnson (94')
> Match Report
Aug 21, 2018 7.45pm
Derby
2-0
Ipswich
Ledley (59'), Lawrence (68')
Bryson (16'), Keogh (42')

Skuse (47'), Nsiala (67')
Dec 30, 2017 3pm
Ipswich
1-2
Derby
Garner (65')
Webster (43')
Winnall (13', 48')
Nov 28, 2017 7.45pm
Derby
0-1
Ipswich

Lawrence (33'), Russell (90'), Baird (90')
Connolly (5')
Chambers (58'), Webster (64'), Downes (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe16122236181838
2Wrexham17104326111534
3Birmingham CityBirmingham15103228151333
4Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield1692525151029
6Barnsley177642622427
7Reading168352624227
8Bolton WanderersBolton168352526-127
9Lincoln CityLincoln177552321226
10Mansfield TownMansfield157352017324
11Exeter CityExeter167271415-123
12Charlton AthleticCharlton166461717022
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
14Bristol Rovers176381723-621
15Wigan AthleticWigan165561513220
16Blackpool175572430-620
17Stevenage165471116-519
18Northampton TownNorthampton174671923-418
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient164391420-615
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge163491425-1113
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion1615101529-148
> League One Full Table


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