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Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 18
Jan 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Carlisle United

Barnsley
2 - 1
Carlisle

Cole (58'), Kane (86' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Armstrong (7')
Armstrong (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Barnsley and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnsley 2-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Carlisle 1-3 Oxford Utd
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League One

We said: Barnsley 2-0 Carlisle United

Barnsley have so much quality in the forward positions, and we are expecting the home side to have too much for their opponents on Tuesday night. Cole and McAtee are full of goals, and we are backing at least one of the forwards to score in a home success in this clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 58.35%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 19.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawCarlisle United
58.35% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01) 22.49% (0.0019999999999989 0) 19.16% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.93% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.25% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)46.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.99% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.29% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)15.7% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.22% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)44.78% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.61% (0.00099999999999767 0)38.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.85% (0.0010000000000012 0)75.14% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 58.35%
    Carlisle United 19.16%
    Draw 22.49%
BarnsleyDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 11.16%
2-0 @ 10.33%
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.38% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 6.1% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 2.95% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 2.82% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 1.35%
5-0 @ 1.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 58.35%
1-1 @ 10.68%
0-0 @ 6.03% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 4.73%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.49%
0-1 @ 5.77% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 5.12% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 2.76% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.63%
2-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 19.16%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Carlisle

Barnsley
97.0%
Draw
0.0%
Carlisle United
3.0%
33
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2019 7.45pm
First Round
Barnsley
0-3
Carlisle

Styles (48'), Andersen (57'), Bahre (83')
McKirdy (24'), Bridge (58' pen.), Thomas (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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