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Leyton Orient
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Brisbane Road
Carlisle United

Leyton Orient
3 - 1
Carlisle

Pigott (11' pen.), Drinan (65'), Sotiriou (90+1')
Cooper (8'), Forde (14'), El Mizouni (60'), Happe (70'), Sweeney (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Garner (50')
Robinson (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Leyton Orient and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burton Albion 0-0 Leyton Orient
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 1-0 Carlisle
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League One

We said: Leyton Orient 1-0 Carlisle United

While a decent cup run could appeal to Carlisle, prioritising League One safety could mean their undefeated run at this stage ends at Leyton Orient. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 48.65%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 26.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.

Result
Leyton OrientDrawCarlisle United
48.65%25.14%26.2%
Both teams to score 52.49%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.63%50.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.69%72.31%
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.28%20.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.66%53.34%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.21%33.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.55%70.45%
Score Analysis
    Leyton Orient 48.65%
    Carlisle United 26.2%
    Draw 25.14%
Leyton OrientDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 11.02%
2-1 @ 9.41%
2-0 @ 8.67%
3-1 @ 4.94%
3-0 @ 4.55%
3-2 @ 2.68%
4-1 @ 1.94%
4-0 @ 1.79%
4-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 48.65%
1-1 @ 11.95%
0-0 @ 7%
2-2 @ 5.11%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.14%
0-1 @ 7.6%
1-2 @ 6.49%
0-2 @ 4.12%
1-3 @ 2.35%
2-3 @ 1.85%
0-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 26.2%

How you voted: Leyton Orient vs Carlisle

Leyton Orient
77.8%
Draw
11.1%
Carlisle United
11.1%
9
Head to Head
Oct 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 13
Carlisle
0-1
Leyton Orient
Sotiriou (21')
Brown (38'), Turns (75'), El Mizouni (90+3')
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Carlisle
2-3
Leyton Orient
Edmondson (15'), Gibson (56')
Archibald (2', 17'), Drinan (50')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 34
Leyton Orient
0-1
Carlisle

Beckles (10'), Archibald (48')
Archibald (50')
Patrick (5')
Armer (52'), Riley (58'), Whelan (70'), Simeu (76')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 4
Carlisle
1-1
Leyton Orient
Abrahams (9' pen.)
Smith (74')
Sweeney (17'), Smith (55'), Drinan (61'), Kyprianou (65'), Clay (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool18143145172845
2Arsenal19116238172139
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest1911442619737
4Chelsea19105438231535
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle1995532211132
6Manchester CityMan City199463226631
7Bournemouth198652923630
8Fulham197842825329
9Aston Villa198562831-329
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton196942928127
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1973941281324
12Brentford197393335-224
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham196582335-1223
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd196492126-522
15Crystal Palace194872027-720
16Everton183871524-917
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1944113142-1116
18Ipswich TownIpswich1936101833-1515
19Leicester CityLeicester1935112242-2014
20Southampton1913151239-276


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