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Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
Leyton Orient

Lincoln
1 - 0
Leyton Orient

Makama (90')
Hackett (19')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sanders (55'), Brown (68'), Sotiriou (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Leyton Orient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lincoln 5-0 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 0-1 Leyton Orient
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 2-1 Leyton Orient

While Lincoln have recently produced the most consistent form, we cannot ignore Leyton Orient's recent win at Stevenage. That said, Lincoln would be backed against many teams in this division right now, leading us to go with a hard-fought success for the home side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 46.93%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 25.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Leyton Orient win it was 0-1 (9.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lincoln City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lincoln City.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawLeyton Orient
46.93% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 27.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 25.52% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Both teams to score 45.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.22% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)59.78% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)80.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.46% (0.0040000000000049 0)25.54% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.6% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)60.39% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)39.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.79% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)76.2%
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 46.92%
    Leyton Orient 25.52%
    Draw 27.54%
Lincoln CityDrawLeyton Orient
1-0 @ 13.77%
2-0 @ 9.4% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 8.73% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.28% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 3.97% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.84% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.46% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.36% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 46.92%
1-1 @ 12.78% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.09%
2-2 @ 4.05%
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 27.54%
0-1 @ 9.37% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 5.94%
0-2 @ 4.35% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 1.84% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.35%
2-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 25.52%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Leyton Orient

Lincoln City
71.0%
Draw
12.9%
Leyton Orient
16.1%
31
Head to Head
Nov 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Leyton Orient
0-1
Lincoln

Wellens (35'), Cooper (70'), Happe (78')
Hamilton (89')
Hamilton (34'), Eyoma (53')
Apr 22, 2006 3pm
Lincoln
1-1
Leyton Orient
Forrester (36')
Mackie (2')
Simpson (34'), Zakuani (60'), Alexander (62')
Oct 15, 2005 3pm
Leyton Orient
1-1
Lincoln
Alexander (18')
Butcher (70')
Cryan (80'), Beevers (83')
Feb 22, 2005 3pm
Leyton Orient
1-1
Lincoln
Mackie (83')
Yeo (3')
Oct 23, 2004 3pm
Lincoln
3-4
Leyton Orient
McAuley (3', 48'), Yeo (14')
Butcher (88')
Steele (11', 78', 89'), Ibehre (37')
Harrison (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham27196246192763
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport29148744281650
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield28146841261548
6Leyton Orient281351040251544
7Charlton AthleticCharlton2812883628844
8Reading28135104341244
9Bolton WanderersBolton29135114343044
10Barnsley29127104139243
11Stevenage2711792725240
12Lincoln CityLincoln29109103534139
13Blackpool2891184140138
14Mansfield TownMansfield27114123534137
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham28107113333037
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
18Bristol Rovers2894152844-1631
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2986154555-1030
20Northampton TownNorthampton2979132845-1730
21Burton Albion29510143044-1425
22Crawley TownCrawley2766152748-2124
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2865172848-2023
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2857162950-2122


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