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League One | Gameweek 27
Feb 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
LNER Stadium
Shrewsbury Town

Lincoln
3 - 0
Shrewsbury

Bishop (6'), Hackett (58'), Sorensen (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bowman (23'), Bennett (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 0-2 Lincoln
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 2-3 Shrewsbury
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 2-1 Shrewsbury Town

Lincoln have enjoyed a resurgence in recent weeks and will be confident of edging close to the playoff picture with a third-straight victory on Tuesday night. Shrewsbury had to hold on in the second period for a vital three points at Reading, but we feel that the Shrews will be unable to repeat the trick at LNER Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 46.41%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawShrewsbury Town
46.41% (-0.788 -0.79) 28.49% (-0.035 -0.04) 25.1% (0.824 0.82)
Both teams to score 42.32% (0.738 0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.94% (0.585 0.59)63.06% (-0.584 -0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.49% (0.421 0.42)82.51% (-0.42100000000001 -0.42)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.68% (-0.122 -0.12)27.32% (0.122 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.23% (-0.158 -0.16)62.77% (0.158 0.16)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.23% (1.113 1.11)41.77% (-1.112 -1.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.77% (0.957 0.96)78.23% (-0.95699999999999 -0.96)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 46.4%
    Shrewsbury Town 25.1%
    Draw 28.49%
Lincoln CityDrawShrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 14.8% (-0.38 -0.38)
2-0 @ 9.61% (-0.28 -0.28)
2-1 @ 8.39% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.16% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-1 @ 3.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.58% (0.045 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.18% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 46.4%
1-1 @ 12.92% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 11.41% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-2 @ 3.66% (0.117 0.12)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 28.49%
0-1 @ 9.96% (0.087 0.09)
1-2 @ 5.64% (0.199 0.2)
0-2 @ 4.35% (0.168 0.17)
1-3 @ 1.64% (0.105 0.11)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.085 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.07% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 25.1%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Shrewsbury

Lincoln City
66.7%
Draw
20.0%
Shrewsbury Town
13.3%
30
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Shrewsbury
0-1
Lincoln

Shipley (19'), Anderson (78')
Hamilton (79')
O'Connor (31'), Roughan (40'), Sorensen (49'), Jensen (88')
May 7, 2023 12pm
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 20
Shrewsbury
2-0
Lincoln
Leahy (45' pen.), Bayliss (60')
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 40
Shrewsbury
1-0
Lincoln
Udoh (84')
Leahy (22'), Bennett (51'), Vela (62')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 16
Lincoln
1-1
Shrewsbury
McGrandles (43')
Fiorini (13'), Poole (89')
Leahy (50')
Udoh (30'), Whalley (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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