Home > Football > League One
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 46.41%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.
Result | ||
Lincoln City | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
46.41% ( -0.79) | 28.49% ( -0.04) | 25.1% ( 0.82) |
Both teams to score 42.32% ( 0.74) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.94% ( 0.59) | 63.06% ( -0.58) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.49% ( 0.42) | 82.51% ( -0.42) |
Lincoln City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.68% ( -0.12) | 27.32% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.23% ( -0.16) | 62.77% ( 0.16) |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.23% ( 1.11) | 41.77% ( -1.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.77% ( 0.96) | 78.23% ( -0.96) |
Score Analysis |
Lincoln City | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
1-0 @ 14.8% ( -0.38) 2-0 @ 9.61% ( -0.28) 2-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 3.63% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.72% Total : 46.4% | 1-1 @ 12.92% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 11.41% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.5% Total : 28.49% | 0-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.17% Total : 25.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Exeter CityExeter | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |