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League One
Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 38
Mar 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
LNER Stadium
Cambridge United

Lincoln
6 - 0
Cambridge

Moylan (3', 25'), Taylor (48', 74'), Eyoma (85'), Duffy (86')
Duffy (90+1'), Taylor (90+7')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Andrew (80'), Brophy (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions
Last Game: Barnsley 1-5 Lincoln
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One

Cambridge United

All competitions
Last Game: Cambridge 1-1 Northampton
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 2-0 Cambridge United

 Lincoln are charging towards the playoffs, with the Imps in excellent form, and we are expecting them to pick up another three points on Tuesday evening against a Cambridge side that have lost 10 of their 17 away league matches during the 2023-24 campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 52.57%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 21.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawCambridge United
52.57% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 26.11% (-0.029 -0.03) 21.32% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 44.64% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.91% (0.091999999999999 0.09)58.08% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.24% (0.073 0.07)78.75% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.79% (0.055000000000007 0.06)22.21% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.37% (0.080999999999996 0.08)55.63% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.38% (0.044999999999995 0.04)42.62% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.03% (0.038 0.04)78.96% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 52.56%
    Cambridge United 21.32%
    Draw 26.11%
Lincoln CityDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 14.24% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.71%
2-1 @ 9.14% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.37% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.58% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.02% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.72% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 52.56%
1-1 @ 12.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.47% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 3.9% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 26.11%
0-1 @ 8.07% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.44% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.11% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.06%
Total : 21.32%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Cambridge

Lincoln City
88.1%
Draw
4.8%
Cambridge United
7.1%
42
Head to Head
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Cambridge
0-3
Lincoln

Ahadme (9'), Cousins (15')
Mandroiu (16' pen.), Duffy (32'), Vale (85')
Vale (77'), Mitchell (88')
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 29
Lincoln
0-0
Cambridge
> Preview
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 7
Cambridge
2-0
Lincoln
Ironside (24', 27')

O'Connor (86')
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 28
Lincoln
0-1
Cambridge
Ironside (90+1')
Brophy (71')
> Preview
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 7
Cambridge
1-5
Lincoln
Ironside (59')
Williams (36'), Digby (72'), Knibbs (82')
Adelakun (1'), McGrandles (16'), Scully (24', 72'), Fiorini (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham21154237162149
2Wrexham23146335161948
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe22145347242347
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield22134536191743
5Stockport CountyStockport23107635241137
6Reading2211473632437
7Barnsley2310673432236
8Bolton WanderersBolton2110473231134
9Charlton AthleticCharlton229672721633
10Leyton Orient229492820831
11Mansfield TownMansfield219482724331
12Lincoln CityLincoln238782829-131
13Exeter CityExeter229492627-131
14Stevenage218581820-229
15Blackpool227783033-328
16Wigan AthleticWigan227692120127
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham216692023-324
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2273123943-424
19Northampton TownNorthampton2357112339-1622
20Bristol Rovers2264121935-1622
21Crawley TownCrawley2255122440-1620
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2245132139-1817
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2244142342-1916
24Burton Albion2227131835-1713
> League One Full Table


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