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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 50.25%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 24.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a MK Dons win it was 1-0 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
MK Dons | Draw | Barnsley |
24.76% ( 0.39) | 24.98% ( 0.16) | 50.25% ( -0.55) |
Both teams to score 51.64% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.16% ( -0.31) | 50.83% ( 0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.28% ( -0.28) | 72.71% ( 0.28) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.75% ( 0.17) | 35.25% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.99% ( 0.18) | 72% ( -0.18) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.76% ( -0.35) | 20.24% ( 0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.43% ( -0.56) | 52.56% ( 0.56) |
Score Analysis |
MK Dons | Draw | Barnsley |
1-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 6.2% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.03% Total : 24.76% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.98% | 0-1 @ 11.39% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.49% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 9.1% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 5.06% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 4.85% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.94% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.71% Total : 50.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 29 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 26 |
3 | Wrexham | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 25 |
4 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 23 |
7 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 22 |
8 | Barnsley | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 22 |
9 | Reading | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 22 |
10 | Stockport CountyStockport | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 21 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 19 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 18 |
14 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 17 |
15 | Stevenage | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 17 |
16 | Blackpool | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 16 |
17 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 15 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 11 |
21 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 10 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 8 |
24 | Burton Albion | 12 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 4 |
> League One Full Table |