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MK Dons
League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Barnsley

MK Dons
4 - 4
Barnsley

Eisa (48' pen., 61'), Leko (52'), O'Hora (69')
McEachran (19'), Johnson (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kane (30'), Norwood (73'), Watters (75', 86')
Kitching (23'), Benson (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between MK Dons and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fleetwood 1-0 MK Dons
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 0-3 Ipswich
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: MK Dons 1-2 Barnsley

MK Dons will fight hard in their bid to stay out of the bottom four on Saturday, but they meet a Barnsley side who boast more quality all over the pitch, and we see the South Yorkshire outfit coming out on top on their travels. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 50.25%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 24.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a MK Dons win it was 1-0 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
MK DonsDrawBarnsley
24.76% (0.392 0.39) 24.98% (0.157 0.16) 50.25% (-0.552 -0.55)
Both teams to score 51.64% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.16% (-0.313 -0.31)50.83% (0.313 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.28% (-0.276 -0.28)72.71% (0.27500000000001 0.28)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.75% (0.167 0.17)35.25% (-0.17 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.99% (0.176 0.18)72% (-0.179 -0.18)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.76% (-0.35000000000001 -0.35)20.24% (0.349 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.43% (-0.562 -0.56)52.56% (0.559 0.56)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 24.76%
    Barnsley 50.25%
    Draw 24.98%
MK DonsDrawBarnsley
1-0 @ 7.44% (0.127 0.13)
2-1 @ 6.2% (0.068 0.07)
2-0 @ 3.88% (0.084 0.08)
3-1 @ 2.15% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.72% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.35% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 24.76%
1-1 @ 11.88% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 7.13% (0.089 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.98%
0-1 @ 11.39% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.49% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 9.1% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-3 @ 5.06% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-3 @ 4.85% (-0.098 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.64% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.02% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.94% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 50.25%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Barnsley

MK Dons
37.5%
Draw
12.5%
Barnsley
50.0%
16
Head to Head
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
gameweek 19
Barnsley
3-1
MK Dons
Williams (18'), Phillips (50'), Kane (68')
Eisa (40')
McEachran (23')
Jan 24, 2015 3pm
Sep 13, 2014 3pm
Barnsley
3-5
MK Dons
Hourihane (82', 87'), Cole (91')
Abbott (37')
Afobe (33'), Carruthers (45'), Alli (52'), Grigg (71'), Reeves (79')
Randall (35')
Feb 16, 2013 3pm
Jan 21, 2006 3pm
Barnsley
2-0
MK Dons
Hassell (79'), Richards (77')
Burns (17'), Austin (68')

Small (39'), Chorley (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
22Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814


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