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MK Dons
League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Barnsley

MK Dons
4 - 4
Barnsley

Eisa (48' pen., 61'), Leko (52'), O'Hora (69')
McEachran (19'), Johnson (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kane (30'), Norwood (73'), Watters (75', 86')
Kitching (23'), Benson (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between MK Dons and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fleetwood 1-0 MK Dons
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 0-3 Ipswich
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: MK Dons 1-2 Barnsley

MK Dons will fight hard in their bid to stay out of the bottom four on Saturday, but they meet a Barnsley side who boast more quality all over the pitch, and we see the South Yorkshire outfit coming out on top on their travels. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 50.25%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 24.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a MK Dons win it was 1-0 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
MK DonsDrawBarnsley
24.76% (0.392 0.39) 24.98% (0.157 0.16) 50.25% (-0.552 -0.55)
Both teams to score 51.64% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.16% (-0.313 -0.31)50.83% (0.313 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.28% (-0.276 -0.28)72.71% (0.27500000000001 0.28)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.75% (0.167 0.17)35.25% (-0.17 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.99% (0.176 0.18)72% (-0.179 -0.18)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.76% (-0.35000000000001 -0.35)20.24% (0.349 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.43% (-0.562 -0.56)52.56% (0.559 0.56)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 24.76%
    Barnsley 50.25%
    Draw 24.98%
MK DonsDrawBarnsley
1-0 @ 7.44% (0.127 0.13)
2-1 @ 6.2% (0.068 0.07)
2-0 @ 3.88% (0.084 0.08)
3-1 @ 2.15% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.72% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.35% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 24.76%
1-1 @ 11.88% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 7.13% (0.089 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.98%
0-1 @ 11.39% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.49% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 9.1% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-3 @ 5.06% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-3 @ 4.85% (-0.098 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.64% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.02% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.94% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 50.25%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Barnsley

MK Dons
37.5%
Draw
12.5%
Barnsley
50.0%
16
Head to Head
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
gameweek 19
Barnsley
3-1
MK Dons
Williams (18'), Phillips (50'), Kane (68')
Eisa (40')
McEachran (23')
Jan 24, 2015 3pm
Sep 13, 2014 3pm
Barnsley
3-5
MK Dons
Hourihane (82', 87'), Cole (91')
Abbott (37')
Afobe (33'), Carruthers (45'), Alli (52'), Grigg (71'), Reeves (79')
Randall (35')
Feb 16, 2013 3pm
Jan 21, 2006 3pm
Barnsley
2-0
MK Dons
Hassell (79'), Richards (77')
Burns (17'), Austin (68')

Small (39'), Chorley (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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