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MK Dons
League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Portsmouth

MK Dons
1 - 1
Portsmouth

Eisa (65')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ogilvie (14')
Ogilvie (24'), Pack (26'), Raggett (54'), Bishop (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between MK Dons and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wycombe 2-2 MK Dons
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 1-0 Forest Green
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: MK Dons 1-2 Portsmouth

Both teams will head into Friday's encounter in confident mood, but we think that playoff-chasing Pompey will have the extra quality needed to claim a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-0 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
MK DonsDrawPortsmouth
31.1% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04) 26.61% (0.012 0.01) 42.29% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Both teams to score 51.06% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.31% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)53.69% (0.062999999999995 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.82% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)75.18% (0.052000000000007 0.05)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.18% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)31.81% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.75% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)68.25% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.89% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)25.11% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.18% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)59.81% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 31.1%
    Portsmouth 42.29%
    Draw 26.6%
MK DonsDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 9.15% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.24% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.24% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.76% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.91% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 31.1%
1-1 @ 12.64% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.99% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.6%
0-1 @ 11.04% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.74%
0-2 @ 7.63% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.02% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-3 @ 3.51% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.39% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.21% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 42.29%

Head to Head
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Nov 26, 2022 3pm
Second Round
Portsmouth
3-2
MK Dons
Hackett-Fairchild (22'), Bishop (35' pen., 48' pen.)
Burns (19'), Eisa (61')
McEachran (38')
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Portsmouth
1-2
MK Dons
Hirst (60')
Hirst (32'), Marquis (90+7')
Eisa (20'), Corbeanu (45')
Robson (52'), Harvie (90+8')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Apr 17, 2021 12.30pm
MK Dons
1-0
Portsmouth
Fraser (41' pen.)
Lewington (31'), Jules (69')

Daniels (19'), Byers (90+4')
Whatmough (81')
rhs 2.0
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4Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
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8Bolton WanderersBolton168352526-127
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10Mansfield TownMansfield157352017324
11Exeter CityExeter167271415-123
12Charlton AthleticCharlton166461717022
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
14Bristol Rovers176381723-621
15Wigan AthleticWigan165561513220
16Blackpool175572430-620
17Stevenage165471116-519
18Northampton TownNorthampton174671923-418
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient164391420-615
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge163491425-1113
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion1615101529-148


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