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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Barnsley

Burton Albion
2 - 1
Barnsley

Shaughnessy (50'), Taylor (87')
Kirk (15'), Powell (48'), Ashworth (65'), Brayford (69'), MacGillivray (81'), Shaughnessy (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cadden (89')
Watters (81'), Andersen (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cheltenham 0-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 5-0 Morecambe
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 1-3 Barnsley

Barnsley claimed a 2-0 victory when they faced Burton at Oakwell in December, and although they do not have home advantage on this occasion, we think that they have enough quality in their squad to complete a league double over the Brewers. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 51.76%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 24.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 2-1 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawBarnsley
24.87% (0.056000000000001 0.06) 23.37% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 51.76% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)
Both teams to score 56.95% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.13% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)43.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.74% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)66.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.61% (0.043999999999997 0.04)31.39% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.24% (0.052 0.05)67.76% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.02% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)16.98% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.9% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)47.1% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 24.87%
    Barnsley 51.76%
    Draw 23.37%
Burton AlbionDrawBarnsley
2-1 @ 6.34% (0.011 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.18% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.58% (0.01 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.45% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.17% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.38% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 24.87%
1-1 @ 10.95% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.62% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 5.33% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.37%
1-2 @ 9.71% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 9.45% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.38% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.74% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.95% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.32%
1-4 @ 2.54% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 2.2% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.47% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-5 @ 0.9% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 51.76%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Barnsley

Burton Albion
15.4%
Draw
0.0%
Barnsley
84.6%
13
Head to Head
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Apr 6, 2019 3pm
Burton Albion
3-1
Barnsley
Allen (5'), Boyce (81'), Harness (89')
Boyce (8')
Woodrow (85' pen.)
Bahre (74'), Woodrow (83')
Feb 19, 2019 7.45pm
Feb 20, 2018 7.45pm
Barnsley
1-2
Burton Albion
Pinillos (75')
Williams (55')
Allen (1'), Davenport (45')
McFadzean (50'), Naylor (62'), Akins (74'), Allen (88')
Oct 31, 2017 7.45pm
Burton Albion
2-4
Barnsley
Lund (37'), Dyer (45')
Isgrove (21'), Potts (40'), Williams (73'), Barnes (87')
Isgrove (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe15112235181735
2Wrexham1694325111431
3Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
4Birmingham CityBirmingham1493226151130
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield158252315826
6Barnsley167542420426
7Lincoln CityLincoln167542320326
8Reading158252422226
9Bolton WanderersBolton158252425-126
10Mansfield TownMansfield147342016424
11Exeter CityExeter157261413123
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
13Bristol Rovers166371721-421
14Charlton AthleticCharlton155461617-119
15Stevenage165471116-519
16Northampton TownNorthampton164661821-318
17Wigan AthleticWigan154561312117
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
19Blackpool164572230-817
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient154381418-415
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge153391324-1112
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion151591528-138


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