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Morecambe
League One | Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Peterborough United

Morecambe
0 - 3
Peterborough


Bedeau (52')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Taylor (12'), Ward (22'), Poku (29')
Kyprianou (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Morecambe and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Weds 3-0 Morecambe
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-0 Peterborough
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Morecambe 1-1 Peterborough United

Peterborough have been very disappointing on the road all season, while Morecambe have been decent at the Mazuma Stadium, ranking in the top half for points acquired on home soil, so we expect this one to play out as a draw. The Posh will be very keen to get back to winning ways after terrible recent form, but they came unstuck against Fleetwood last time out, and it would not be a surprise if they struggled again against the Shrimps. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 49.82%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 25.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.56%) and 0-2 (8.57%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
MorecambeDrawPeterborough United
25.74% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 24.44% (0.0030000000000001 0) 49.82% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.31% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.22% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)47.78% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.04% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)69.97% (0.024999999999991 0.02)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.23% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)32.77% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.67% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)69.34% (0.030999999999992 0.03)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.79% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)19.21% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.1% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)50.9% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 25.74%
    Peterborough United 49.81%
    Draw 24.43%
MorecambeDrawPeterborough United
1-0 @ 7.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 6.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 3.92% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 2.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.46% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 25.74%
1-1 @ 11.58%
0-0 @ 6.3% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.33% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.43%
0-1 @ 10.38% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.56%
0-2 @ 8.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.26%
0-3 @ 4.71% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-3 @ 2.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 2.17%
0-4 @ 1.94% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 49.81%

How you voted: Morecambe vs Peterborough

Morecambe
50.0%
Draw
0.0%
Peterborough United
50.0%
8
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Dec 29, 2007 3pm
Morecambe
3-2
Peterborough
Artell (27'), Baker (52', 71' pen.)
Baker (53')
Artell (48')
Morgan (5'), Lee (12')
Day (70')
Sep 22, 2007 3pm
rhs 2.0
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7Bolton WanderersBolton28135104342144
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13Blackpool2791083938137
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21Burton Albion2859143044-1424
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