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Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 27
Jan 16, 2023 at 8pm UK
Vale Park
Peterborough United

Port Vale
0 - 2
Peterborough

FT(HT: 0-0)
Mason-Clark (56', 64')
Poku (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Port Vale and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Port Vale 1-1 Peterborough United

Peterborough will be keen to win the first game of Ferguson's fourth spell in charge, but with both teams level on points, we think a close-fought contest could result in the spoils being shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 48.08%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Peterborough United had a probability of 25.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.18%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Peterborough United win it was 0-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
Port ValeDrawPeterborough United
48.08% (-0.229 -0.23) 26.31% (0.066000000000003 0.07) 25.62% (0.166 0.17)
Both teams to score 48.52% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.68% (-0.133 -0.13)55.32% (0.136 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.47% (-0.108 -0.11)76.53% (0.11199999999999 0.11)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.97% (-0.16 -0.16)23.03% (0.164 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.15% (-0.237 -0.24)56.85% (0.241 0.24)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.04% (0.073 0.07)36.96% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.25% (0.069000000000003 0.07)73.75% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 48.07%
    Peterborough United 25.62%
    Draw 26.31%
Port ValeDrawPeterborough United
1-0 @ 12.49%
2-0 @ 9.18% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.49% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.47% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.65% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.64% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 48.07%
1-1 @ 12.44% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.51% (0.045 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 26.31%
0-1 @ 8.47% (0.061 0.06)
1-2 @ 6.19% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.22% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.06% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.51% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.4% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 25.62%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Peterborough

Port Vale
45.8%
Draw
29.2%
Peterborough United
25.0%
72
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2022 3pm
Feb 4, 2017 3pm
Port Vale
0-3
Peterborough

Smith (11'), Pugh (73')
Maddison (20'), Morias (90', 95')
Da Silva Lopes (57'), Edwards (58'), Nichols (75')
Sep 10, 2016 3pm
Peterborough
2-2
Port Vale
Moncur (8', 84')
da Silva Lopes (57'), Bostwick (73'), Taylor (95')
Hughes (94')
Jones (6', 94')
Grant (14'), Paterson (45'), Jones (58')
Mar 12, 2016 3pm
Peterborough
2-3
Port Vale
Taylor (2'), Williams (41')
Baldwin (45'), Bostwick (72')
Moore (49'), Hooper (86'), Dodds (89')
Grant (55'), O'Connor (70')
Oct 17, 2015 3pm
rhs 2.0
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