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League One
Northampton Town
League One | Gameweek 19
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Cambridge United

Northampton
2 - 1
Cambridge

Bowie (49'), Hoskins (55')
McWilliams (42')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ahadme (77')
Brophy (39'), Digby (79'), Andrew (90')
Digby (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: MK Dons 3-2 Northampton
Tuesday, November 21 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Cambridge United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Peterborough 5-0 Cambridge
Saturday, November 11 at 12pm in League One

We said: Northampton Town 1-1 Cambridge United

 There is very little between these two teams in the league table right now with both of them having tough starts to this season. That is something that could end up being reflected on the day in what is likely going to be a cagey match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 50.49%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 23.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawCambridge United
50.49% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03) 25.82% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 23.68% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 48.09% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.04% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)54.96% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.76% (-0.004999999999999 -0)76.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.19% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)21.81% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.98% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)55.02% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.5% (0.014000000000003 0.01)38.5% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.75% (0.013999999999999 0.01)75.24% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 50.49%
    Cambridge United 23.68%
    Draw 25.82%
Northampton TownDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 12.78%
2-0 @ 9.74% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 4.94% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 4.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.25%
4-0 @ 1.88% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.8% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 50.49%
1-1 @ 12.2%
0-0 @ 8.4% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.44% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 25.82%
0-1 @ 8.02% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.83% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 3.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.85% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.22% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 23.68%

Head to Head
Sep 20, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
Northampton
0-2
Cambridge
Okenabirhie (68', 77')
Nov 16, 2021 7.45pm
First Round Replays
Cambridge
3-1
Northampton
Knibbs (13'), Smith (40'), Worman (48')
Rose (75')
McGowan (82')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
First Round
Northampton
2-2
Cambridge
Etete (6'), Lewis (35')
Horsfall (12'), McWilliams (87')
Smith (14'), Masterson (66')
Smith (63')
Mar 21, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 40
Cambridge
P-P
Northampton
Oct 26, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 16
Northampton
2-0
Cambridge
Smith (26'), Taft (45' og.)
Hoskins (45'), McCormack (51')

Lambe (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe24156350262451
3Wrexham25156437181951
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield23135536191744
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2311483534137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Stevenage238781820-231
14Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
15Blackpool247983235-330
16Rotherham UnitedRotherham237792123-228
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2445152444-2017
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814
> League One Full Table


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