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League One
Northampton Town
League One | Gameweek 19
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Cambridge United

Northampton
2 - 1
Cambridge

Bowie (49'), Hoskins (55')
McWilliams (42')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ahadme (77')
Brophy (39'), Digby (79'), Andrew (90')
Digby (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: MK Dons 3-2 Northampton
Tuesday, November 21 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Cambridge United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Peterborough 5-0 Cambridge
Saturday, November 11 at 12pm in League One

We said: Northampton Town 1-1 Cambridge United

 There is very little between these two teams in the league table right now with both of them having tough starts to this season. That is something that could end up being reflected on the day in what is likely going to be a cagey match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 50.49%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 23.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawCambridge United
50.49% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03) 25.82% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 23.68% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 48.09% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.04% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)54.96% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.76% (-0.004999999999999 -0)76.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.19% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)21.81% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.98% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)55.02% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.5% (0.014000000000003 0.01)38.5% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.75% (0.013999999999999 0.01)75.24% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 50.49%
    Cambridge United 23.68%
    Draw 25.82%
Northampton TownDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 12.78%
2-0 @ 9.74% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 4.94% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 4.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.25%
4-0 @ 1.88% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.8% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 50.49%
1-1 @ 12.2%
0-0 @ 8.4% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.44% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 25.82%
0-1 @ 8.02% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.83% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 3.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.85% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.22% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 23.68%

Head to Head
Sep 20, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
Northampton
0-2
Cambridge
Okenabirhie (68', 77')
Nov 16, 2021 7.45pm
First Round Replays
Cambridge
3-1
Northampton
Knibbs (13'), Smith (40'), Worman (48')
Rose (75')
McGowan (82')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
First Round
Northampton
2-2
Cambridge
Etete (6'), Lewis (35')
Horsfall (12'), McWilliams (87')
Smith (14'), Masterson (66')
Smith (63')
Mar 21, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 40
Cambridge
P-P
Northampton
Oct 26, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 16
Northampton
2-0
Cambridge
Smith (26'), Taft (45' og.)
Hoskins (45'), McCormack (51')

Lambe (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe16122236181838
2Wrexham17104326111534
3Birmingham CityBirmingham15103228151333
4Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield1692525151029
6Barnsley177642622427
7Reading168352624227
8Bolton WanderersBolton168352526-127
9Lincoln CityLincoln177552321226
10Mansfield TownMansfield157352017324
11Exeter CityExeter167271415-123
12Charlton AthleticCharlton166461717022
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
14Bristol Rovers176381723-621
15Wigan AthleticWigan165561513220
16Blackpool175572430-620
17Stevenage165471116-519
18Northampton TownNorthampton174671923-418
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient164391420-615
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge163491425-1113
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion1615101529-148
> League One Full Table


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