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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 45.97%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 27.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cambridge United | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
45.97% ( 0.17) | 26.31% ( -0.01) | 27.72% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 50.14% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.99% ( -0.05) | 54.01% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.55% ( -0.04) | 75.45% ( 0.04) |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.55% ( 0.06) | 23.45% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.54% ( 0.09) | 57.46% ( -0.09) |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.49% ( -0.16) | 34.5% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.78% ( -0.17) | 71.22% ( 0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Cambridge United | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
1-0 @ 11.73% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.38% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 45.96% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.3% | 0-1 @ 8.61% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.2% Total : 27.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 53 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 50 | 26 | 24 | 51 |
3 | Wrexham | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 37 | 18 | 19 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 44 |
5 | Barnsley | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 42 |
6 | Reading | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 41 |
7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 37 |
9 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 37 |
10 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 37 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 34 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
13 | Stevenage | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 31 |
14 | Exeter CityExeter | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 31 |
15 | Blackpool | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 30 |
16 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 28 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 27 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 26 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 25 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 25 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 20 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 17 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 17 |
24 | Burton Albion | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 14 |
> League One Full Table |