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League One | Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2024 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Leyton Orient

Northampton
1 - 0
Leyton Orient

McGeehan (48')
Baldwin (55'), Pinnock (84'), Guthrie (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Galbraith (10'), Agyei (35'), James (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Leyton Orient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Northampton Town 1-1 Leyton Orient

Having claimed just two league wins apiece, Northampton and Leyton Orient will both be desperate to claim all three points in Saturday's contest. However, with wins proving to be hard to come by, we think that the two sides could share the spoils in a cagey contest at Sixfields. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 47.98%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 26.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (8.46%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Northampton TownDrawLeyton Orient
26.87% (0.029 0.03) 25.16% (0.0019999999999989 0) 47.98% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 53.01% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.05% (0.018999999999998 0.02)49.95% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.06% (0.016999999999999 0.02)71.94% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.97% (0.032000000000011 0.03)33.03% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.38% (0.032 0.03)69.62% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)20.84% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.47% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)53.53% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 26.87%
    Leyton Orient 47.97%
    Draw 25.15%
Northampton TownDrawLeyton Orient
1-0 @ 7.63% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 6.62% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 4.22% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 2.45% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.92% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 1.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 26.87%
1-1 @ 11.95%
0-0 @ 6.88% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
2-2 @ 5.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 10.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.38% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 8.46% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 4.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.92% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.74% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 47.97%

How you voted: Northampton vs Leyton Orient

Northampton Town
28.6%
Draw
28.6%
Leyton Orient
42.9%
7
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Leyton Orient
4-3
Northampton
O'Neill (35'), Forde (58'), Sotiriou (80', 90+7')
El Mizouni (21'), Brown (41')
Leonard (45+1'), Bowie (77'), Simpson (83')
Brady (22'), Gape (31'), Guthrie (90+6')
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Northampton
2-2
Leyton Orient
Hoskins (49', 52' pen.)
Burge (81')
Bowie (58')
Hunt (14'), Forde (90+6')
Happe (10'), Cooper (19'), Turns (90+7')
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 44
Leyton Orient
2-4
Northampton
Archibald (45+1'), Brown (50')
Ogie (84')
Pinnock (19'), Guthrie (32'), Eppiah (38', 45+3')
Hoskins (29'), McWilliams (41'), Pinnock (43'), Sowerby (75'), Rose (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton2511593839-138
10Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
11Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
12Charlton AthleticCharlton249782925434
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Blackpool2571083437-331
15Stevenage248791922-331
16Exeter CityExeter2594122832-431
17Wigan AthleticWigan2486102324-130
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2575134146-526
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118
24Burton Albion2529142139-1815


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