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League One | Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2024 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Leyton Orient

Northampton
1 - 0
Leyton Orient

McGeehan (48')
Baldwin (55'), Pinnock (84'), Guthrie (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Galbraith (10'), Agyei (35'), James (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Leyton Orient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Northampton Town 1-1 Leyton Orient

Having claimed just two league wins apiece, Northampton and Leyton Orient will both be desperate to claim all three points in Saturday's contest. However, with wins proving to be hard to come by, we think that the two sides could share the spoils in a cagey contest at Sixfields. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 47.98%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 26.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (8.46%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Northampton TownDrawLeyton Orient
26.87% (0.029 0.03) 25.16% (0.0019999999999989 0) 47.98% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 53.01% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.05% (0.018999999999998 0.02)49.95% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.06% (0.016999999999999 0.02)71.94% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.97% (0.032000000000011 0.03)33.03% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.38% (0.032 0.03)69.62% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)20.84% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.47% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)53.53% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 26.87%
    Leyton Orient 47.97%
    Draw 25.15%
Northampton TownDrawLeyton Orient
1-0 @ 7.63% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 6.62% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 4.22% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 2.45% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.92% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 1.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 26.87%
1-1 @ 11.95%
0-0 @ 6.88% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
2-2 @ 5.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 10.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.38% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 8.46% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 4.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.92% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.74% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 47.97%

How you voted: Northampton vs Leyton Orient

Northampton Town
28.6%
Draw
28.6%
Leyton Orient
42.9%
7
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Leyton Orient
4-3
Northampton
O'Neill (35'), Forde (58'), Sotiriou (80', 90+7')
El Mizouni (21'), Brown (41')
Leonard (45+1'), Bowie (77'), Simpson (83')
Brady (22'), Gape (31'), Guthrie (90+6')
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Northampton
2-2
Leyton Orient
Hoskins (49', 52' pen.)
Burge (81')
Bowie (58')
Hunt (14'), Forde (90+6')
Happe (10'), Cooper (19'), Turns (90+7')
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 44
Leyton Orient
2-4
Northampton
Archibald (45+1'), Brown (50')
Ogie (84')
Pinnock (19'), Guthrie (32'), Eppiah (38', 45+3')
Hoskins (29'), McWilliams (41'), Pinnock (43'), Sowerby (75'), Rose (84')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley208662926330
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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