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League One | Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2024 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Leyton Orient

Northampton
1 - 0
Leyton Orient

McGeehan (48')
Baldwin (55'), Pinnock (84'), Guthrie (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Galbraith (10'), Agyei (35'), James (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Leyton Orient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Northampton Town 1-1 Leyton Orient

Having claimed just two league wins apiece, Northampton and Leyton Orient will both be desperate to claim all three points in Saturday's contest. However, with wins proving to be hard to come by, we think that the two sides could share the spoils in a cagey contest at Sixfields. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 47.98%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 26.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (8.46%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Northampton TownDrawLeyton Orient
26.87% (0.029 0.03) 25.16% (0.0019999999999989 0) 47.98% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 53.01% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.05% (0.018999999999998 0.02)49.95% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.06% (0.016999999999999 0.02)71.94% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.97% (0.032000000000011 0.03)33.03% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.38% (0.032 0.03)69.62% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)20.84% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.47% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)53.53% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 26.87%
    Leyton Orient 47.97%
    Draw 25.15%
Northampton TownDrawLeyton Orient
1-0 @ 7.63% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 6.62% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 4.22% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 2.45% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.92% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 1.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 26.87%
1-1 @ 11.95%
0-0 @ 6.88% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
2-2 @ 5.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 10.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.38% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 8.46% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 4.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.92% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.74% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 47.97%

How you voted: Northampton vs Leyton Orient

Northampton Town
28.6%
Draw
28.6%
Leyton Orient
42.9%
7
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Leyton Orient
4-3
Northampton
O'Neill (35'), Forde (58'), Sotiriou (80', 90+7')
El Mizouni (21'), Brown (41')
Leonard (45+1'), Bowie (77'), Simpson (83')
Brady (22'), Gape (31'), Guthrie (90+6')
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Northampton
2-2
Leyton Orient
Hoskins (49', 52' pen.)
Burge (81')
Bowie (58')
Hunt (14'), Forde (90+6')
Happe (10'), Cooper (19'), Turns (90+7')
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 44
Leyton Orient
2-4
Northampton
Archibald (45+1'), Brown (50')
Ogie (84')
Pinnock (19'), Guthrie (32'), Eppiah (38', 45+3')
Hoskins (29'), McWilliams (41'), Pinnock (43'), Sowerby (75'), Rose (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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