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League One
Leyton Orient
League One | Gameweek 33
Feb 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Brisbane Road
Northampton Town

Leyton Orient
4 - 3
Northampton

O'Neill (35'), Forde (58'), Sotiriou (80', 90+7')
El Mizouni (21'), Brown (41')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Leonard (45+1'), Bowie (77'), Simpson (83')
Brady (22'), Gape (31'), Guthrie (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Leyton Orient and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leyton Orient

All competitions
Last Game: Barnsley 2-1 Leyton Orient
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League One

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Northampton 1-1 Bolton
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League One

We said: Leyton Orient 1-0 Northampton Town

 Northampton have struggled in their last three outings and could not take advantage of an extra man against Bolton. Despite Leyton's defeat last time out, we think they are still the team to beat in this fixture and should edge it at the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 54.63%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 20.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.

Result
Leyton OrientDrawNorthampton Town
54.63% (0.088000000000001 0.09) 24.68% (-0.041 -0.04) 20.69% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 47.74% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.45% (0.101 0.1)53.55% (-0.102 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.94% (0.084 0.08)75.06% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.46% (0.073000000000008 0.07)19.54% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.56% (0.12 0.12)51.44% (-0.121 -0.12)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.34% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)40.66% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.75% (0.004999999999999 0)77.25% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Leyton Orient 54.63%
    Northampton Town 20.69%
    Draw 24.67%
Leyton OrientDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 12.97% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.53% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.76% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.19% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.35% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.33% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.12% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 54.63%
1-1 @ 11.67% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.95% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.29% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 24.67%
0-1 @ 7.15% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 5.25% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.22% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.29% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 0.97% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 20.69%

How you voted: Leyton Orient vs Northampton

Leyton Orient
76.0%
Draw
12.0%
Northampton Town
12.0%
25
Head to Head
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Northampton
2-2
Leyton Orient
Hoskins (49', 52' pen.)
Burge (81')
Bowie (58')
Hunt (14'), Forde (90+6')
Happe (10'), Cooper (19'), Turns (90+7')
> Preview
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Northampton
1-0
Leyton Orient
Fox (51')
> Preview
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Leyton Orient
0-0
Northampton
> Preview
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 44
Leyton Orient
2-4
Northampton
Archibald (45+1'), Brown (50')
Ogie (84')
Pinnock (19'), Guthrie (32'), Eppiah (38', 45+3')
Hoskins (29'), McWilliams (41'), Pinnock (43'), Sowerby (75'), Rose (84')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 19
Northampton
1-0
Leyton Orient
Hoskins (41')

Kyprianou (52'), Wood (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham26186244182660
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe28177454292558
3Wrexham28157641241752
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield27146739231648
5Stockport CountyStockport28138743281547
6Leyton Orient27135940241644
7Bolton WanderersBolton28135104342144
8Charlton AthleticCharlton2712783426843
9Barnsley28126104139242
10Reading27125104241141
11Lincoln CityLincoln28108103433138
12Mansfield TownMansfield26114113432237
13Blackpool2791083938137
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham27107103231137
15Stevenage2610792324-137
16Wigan AthleticWigan2796122627-133
17Exeter CityExeter2895143242-1032
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
20Northampton TownNorthampton2869132543-1827
21Burton Albion2859143044-1424
22Crawley TownCrawley2666142646-2024
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2756162849-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2755172647-2120
> League One Full Table


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