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League One
Leyton Orient
League One | Gameweek 33
Feb 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Brisbane Road
Northampton Town

Leyton Orient
4 - 3
Northampton

O'Neill (35'), Forde (58'), Sotiriou (80', 90+7')
El Mizouni (21'), Brown (41')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Leonard (45+1'), Bowie (77'), Simpson (83')
Brady (22'), Gape (31'), Guthrie (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Leyton Orient and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leyton Orient

All competitions
Last Game: Barnsley 2-1 Leyton Orient
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League One

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Northampton 1-1 Bolton
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League One

We said: Leyton Orient 1-0 Northampton Town

 Northampton have struggled in their last three outings and could not take advantage of an extra man against Bolton. Despite Leyton's defeat last time out, we think they are still the team to beat in this fixture and should edge it at the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 54.63%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 20.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.

Result
Leyton OrientDrawNorthampton Town
54.63% (0.088000000000001 0.09) 24.68% (-0.041 -0.04) 20.69% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 47.74% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.45% (0.101 0.1)53.55% (-0.102 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.94% (0.084 0.08)75.06% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.46% (0.073000000000008 0.07)19.54% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.56% (0.12 0.12)51.44% (-0.121 -0.12)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.34% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)40.66% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.75% (0.004999999999999 0)77.25% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Leyton Orient 54.63%
    Northampton Town 20.69%
    Draw 24.67%
Leyton OrientDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 12.97% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.53% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.76% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.19% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.35% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.33% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.12% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 54.63%
1-1 @ 11.67% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.95% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.29% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 24.67%
0-1 @ 7.15% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 5.25% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.22% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.29% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 0.97% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 20.69%

How you voted: Leyton Orient vs Northampton

Leyton Orient
76.0%
Draw
12.0%
Northampton Town
12.0%
25
Head to Head
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Northampton
2-2
Leyton Orient
Hoskins (49', 52' pen.)
Burge (81')
Bowie (58')
Hunt (14'), Forde (90+6')
Happe (10'), Cooper (19'), Turns (90+7')
> Preview
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Northampton
1-0
Leyton Orient
Fox (51')
> Preview
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Leyton Orient
0-0
Northampton
> Preview
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 44
Leyton Orient
2-4
Northampton
Archibald (45+1'), Brown (50')
Ogie (84')
Pinnock (19'), Guthrie (32'), Eppiah (38', 45+3')
Hoskins (29'), McWilliams (41'), Pinnock (43'), Sowerby (75'), Rose (84')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 19
Northampton
1-0
Leyton Orient
Hoskins (41')

Kyprianou (52'), Wood (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham21154237162149
2Wrexham23146335161948
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe22145347242347
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield22134536191743
5Stockport CountyStockport23107635241137
6Reading2211473632437
7Barnsley2310673432236
8Bolton WanderersBolton2110473231134
9Charlton AthleticCharlton229672721633
10Leyton Orient229492820831
11Mansfield TownMansfield219482724331
12Lincoln CityLincoln238782829-131
13Exeter CityExeter229492627-131
14Stevenage218581820-229
15Blackpool227783033-328
16Wigan AthleticWigan227692120127
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham216692023-324
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2273123943-424
19Northampton TownNorthampton2357112339-1622
20Bristol Rovers2264121935-1622
21Crawley TownCrawley2255122440-1620
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2245132139-1817
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2244142342-1916
24Burton Albion2227131835-1713
> League One Full Table


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