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League One | Gameweek 8
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Mansfield Town

Northampton
0 - 2
Mansfield

FT(HT: 0-0)
Evans (47'), Lewis (89')
Evans (51'), Cargill (58'), Boateng (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mansfield 2-1 Shrewsbury
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League One

We said: Northampton Town 2-2 Mansfield Town

Each of Mansfield's last ten league matches have seen both teams find the net and a total of 35 goals scored, so another end-to-end contest could be on the cards this weekend. Mansfield will be regarded as slight favourites for this match despite their poor away run, but we can see Northampton following up their impressive win at Huddersfield with another positive result on home soil, claiming at least a share of the spoils in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 54.31%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 22.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.79%) and 0-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 1-0 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawMansfield Town
22.19% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 23.5% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 54.31% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Both teams to score 53.31% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.82% (0.036000000000001 0.04)47.18% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.59% (0.034000000000002 0.03)69.41% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.44% (0.039999999999992 0.04)35.55% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.68% (0.040999999999997 0.04)72.32% (-0.041000000000011 -0.04)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.73% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)17.27% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.4% (0.010999999999996 0.01)47.6% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 22.19%
    Mansfield Town 54.3%
    Draw 23.5%
Northampton TownDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 6.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 5.77% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 3.28% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 1.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.13% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 22.19%
1-1 @ 11.15%
0-0 @ 6.14% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.5%
0-1 @ 10.78% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.79%
0-2 @ 9.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.73% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 5.54% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.96% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 2.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 2.43% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.3% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 54.3%

How you voted: Northampton vs Mansfield

Northampton Town
36.4%
Draw
18.2%
Mansfield Town
45.5%
11
Head to Head
Mar 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Northampton
1-0
Mansfield
Hoskins (28' pen.)
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
May 18, 2022 7.45pm
May 14, 2022 7.45pm
Mansfield
2-1
Northampton
Oates (13'), Bowery (32')
Maris (50'), Perch (61')
Koiki (61')
McWilliams (22')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 40
Mansfield
1-0
Northampton
Hawkins (21')
McLaughlin (5'), Hewitt (65'), Stirk (85')

Lewis (75')
Lewis (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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