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Fleetwood Town
League One | Gameweek 27
Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Highbury Stadium
Oxford United

Fleetwood
1 - 2
Oxford Utd

Wiredu (44')
Nsiala (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Joseph (62'), Brown (90')
Long (72'), Goodrham (90+5'), Moore (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Fleetwood Town and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Fleetwood Town 1-1 Oxford United

After a close encounter between these two at the Kassam Stadium in November last year, in which they shared the spoils of the points, we forecast a similar outcome in Lancashire on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 37.54%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 36.5% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Fleetwood TownDrawOxford United
36.5% (-0.129 -0.13) 25.96% (0.012 0.01) 37.54% (0.117 0.12)
Both teams to score 54.38% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.02% (-0.052 -0.05)49.97% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.03% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)71.96% (0.044999999999987 0.04)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.45% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)26.54% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.24% (-0.13 -0.13)61.75% (0.127 0.13)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.04% (0.040999999999997 0.04)25.95% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.03% (0.057000000000002 0.06)60.96% (-0.058 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Fleetwood Town 36.5%
    Oxford United 37.54%
    Draw 25.95%
Fleetwood TownDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 9.14% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.17% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.06% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.61% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.68% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.2% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 36.5%
1-1 @ 12.32%
0-0 @ 6.89% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 9.29% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.31% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.27% (0.028 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.74% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.82% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.48%
1-4 @ 1.26% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 0.95% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 37.54%

How you voted: Fleetwood vs Oxford Utd

Fleetwood Town
33.3%
Draw
66.7%
Oxford United
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Nov 1, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Fleetwood
2-3
Oxford Utd
Harrison (39' pen.), Hayes (53')
Harrison (52')
Holland (2'), Brannagan (7'), Bodin (16')
Brannagan (71'), Stevens (90+6')
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Oxford Utd
3-1
Fleetwood
McNally (5'), Brannagan (13'), Holland (69')
Whyte (89')
Matete (40')
Clark (52'), Batty (65'), Matete (84')
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
Fleetwood
2-0
Oxford Utd
Camps (1'), Madden (76')
Duffy (90+4')

Ruffels (53'), Long (87')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham25156437181951
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2445152444-2017
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814


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