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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 43.55%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
43.55% ( 0.01) | 27.37% ( 0.01) | 29.07% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 47.84% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.64% ( -0.05) | 57.35% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.81% ( -0.04) | 78.18% ( 0.03) |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.86% ( -0.02) | 26.13% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.8% ( -0.02) | 61.2% ( 0.01) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.76% ( -0.05) | 35.23% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.01% ( -0.05) | 71.98% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
1-0 @ 12.35% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.29% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.87% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.71% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.12% Total : 43.54% | 1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.36% | 0-1 @ 9.6% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.01% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.34% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0) Other @ 2.09% Total : 29.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 26 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 44 | 18 | 26 | 60 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 28 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 58 |
3 | Wrexham | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 24 | 17 | 52 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 23 | 16 | 48 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 28 | 15 | 47 |
6 | Leyton Orient | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 40 | 24 | 16 | 44 |
7 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 44 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 43 |
9 | Barnsley | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 42 |
10 | Reading | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 41 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 38 |
12 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 37 |
13 | Blackpool | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 37 |
14 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 37 |
15 | Stevenage | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 37 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 33 |
17 | Exeter CityExeter | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 32 |
18 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 30 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 28 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 27 |
21 | Burton Albion | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 24 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 24 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 28 | 49 | -21 | 21 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 26 | 47 | -21 | 20 |
> League One Full Table |