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League One
Shrewsbury Town
League One | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
Cheltenham Town

Shrewsbury
0 - 1
Cheltenham


Shipley (58')
Leahy (69')
FT(HT: 0-1)
N'Lundulu (38')
N'Lundulu (60'), Norton (87'), Freestone (88'), Bonds (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Cambridge 2-1 Shrewsbury
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-1 Plymouth
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

We said: Shrewsbury Town 0-0 Cheltenham Town

 With both sides generally more effective defensively than offensively, we can envisage a stalemate playing out at Montgomery Waters Meadow on Thursday. Both managers tend to prefer a 3-4-1-2 formation, too, increasing the chances of the two sets of players cancelling each other out on the day. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 43.55%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawCheltenham Town
43.55% (0.013000000000005 0.01) 27.37% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 29.07% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 47.84% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.64% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)57.35% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.81% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)78.18% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.86% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)26.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.8% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)61.2% (0.012 0.01)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.76% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)35.23% (0.038999999999994 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.01% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)71.98% (0.041000000000011 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 43.54%
    Cheltenham Town 29.07%
    Draw 27.36%
Shrewsbury TownDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 12.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.65% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 8.29% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.87% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.71% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 43.54%
1-1 @ 12.88%
0-0 @ 9.21% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.51% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.36%
0-1 @ 9.6% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 6.72% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.34% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 29.07%

How you voted: Shrewsbury vs Cheltenham

Shrewsbury Town
46.2%
Draw
38.5%
Cheltenham Town
15.4%
13
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Cheltenham
2-0
Shrewsbury
Long (45'), May (46')

Flanagan (18')
Dec 18, 2021 3pm
Shrewsbury
3-1
Cheltenham
Udoh (10', 48'), Davis (78')
Bloxham (40')
Williams (16')
May (25'), Hussey (40'), Chapman (45')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Cheltenham
2-1
Shrewsbury
Thomas (24' pen.), Joseph (66')
Udoh (4')
Pennington (1'), Bowman (54'), Leahy (78')
Bennett (23')
Apr 25, 2015 3pm
Cheltenham
0-1
Shrewsbury

Harrad (32')
Akpa-Akpro (20')
Lawrence (18'), Goldson (89')
Oct 11, 2014 3pm
Shrewsbury
3-1
Cheltenham
Collins (50'), Mangan (55'), Knight-Percival (69')
Goldson (58'), Wesolowski (78')
Harrison (48')
Braham-Barrett (55'), Vaughan (60'), Taylor (77')
> Match Report
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham25156437181951
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2445152444-2017
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814
> League One Full Table


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