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League One
Shrewsbury Town
League One | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
Cheltenham Town

Shrewsbury
0 - 1
Cheltenham


Shipley (58')
Leahy (69')
FT(HT: 0-1)
N'Lundulu (38')
N'Lundulu (60'), Norton (87'), Freestone (88'), Bonds (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Cambridge 2-1 Shrewsbury
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-1 Plymouth
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

We said: Shrewsbury Town 0-0 Cheltenham Town

 With both sides generally more effective defensively than offensively, we can envisage a stalemate playing out at Montgomery Waters Meadow on Thursday. Both managers tend to prefer a 3-4-1-2 formation, too, increasing the chances of the two sets of players cancelling each other out on the day. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 43.55%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawCheltenham Town
43.55% (0.013000000000005 0.01) 27.37% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 29.07% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 47.84% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.64% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)57.35% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.81% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)78.18% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.86% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)26.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.8% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)61.2% (0.012 0.01)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.76% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)35.23% (0.038999999999994 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.01% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)71.98% (0.041000000000011 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 43.54%
    Cheltenham Town 29.07%
    Draw 27.36%
Shrewsbury TownDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 12.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.65% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 8.29% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.87% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.71% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 43.54%
1-1 @ 12.88%
0-0 @ 9.21% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.51% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.36%
0-1 @ 9.6% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 6.72% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.34% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 29.07%

How you voted: Shrewsbury vs Cheltenham

Shrewsbury Town
46.2%
Draw
38.5%
Cheltenham Town
15.4%
13
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Cheltenham
2-0
Shrewsbury
Long (45'), May (46')

Flanagan (18')
Dec 18, 2021 3pm
Shrewsbury
3-1
Cheltenham
Udoh (10', 48'), Davis (78')
Bloxham (40')
Williams (16')
May (25'), Hussey (40'), Chapman (45')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Cheltenham
2-1
Shrewsbury
Thomas (24' pen.), Joseph (66')
Udoh (4')
Pennington (1'), Bowman (54'), Leahy (78')
Bennett (23')
Apr 25, 2015 3pm
Cheltenham
0-1
Shrewsbury

Harrad (32')
Akpa-Akpro (20')
Lawrence (18'), Goldson (89')
Oct 11, 2014 3pm
Shrewsbury
3-1
Cheltenham
Collins (50'), Mangan (55'), Knight-Percival (69')
Goldson (58'), Wesolowski (78')
Harrison (48')
Braham-Barrett (55'), Vaughan (60'), Taylor (77')
> Match Report
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Today's games header
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Buccaneers
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Chiefs
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe1282226161026
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport135622012821
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
22Crawley TownCrawley133191225-1310
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion120481325-124
> League One Full Table


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