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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 60.1%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 18.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 1-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a Charlton Athletic win it was 1-2 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Peterborough United | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
60.1% ( 5.11) | 21.1% ( -1.67) | 18.79% ( -3.45) |
Both teams to score 55.93% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.87% ( 2.81) | 41.12% ( -2.82) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.48% ( 2.81) | 63.51% ( -2.81) |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.7% ( 2.57) | 13.29% ( -2.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.88% ( 4.96) | 40.11% ( -4.97) |
Charlton Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.5% ( -1.8) | 35.49% ( 1.79) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.74% ( -1.91) | 72.26% ( 1.9) |
Score Analysis |
Peterborough United | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 9.61% ( 0.55) 1-0 @ 9.52% ( -0.32) 3-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.65) 3-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.9) 3-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 3.38% ( 0.59) 4-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.7) 4-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.24) 5-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.34) 5-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.37) Other @ 3.34% Total : 60.1% | 1-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.84) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.63) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.1% | 1-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.72) 0-1 @ 4.89% ( -0.93) 0-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.63) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.35) Other @ 2.73% Total : 18.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 36 | 18 | 18 | 38 |
2 | Wrexham | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 11 | 15 | 34 |
3 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 33 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 30 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 29 |
6 | Barnsley | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 27 |
7 | Reading | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 27 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 27 |
9 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 26 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 24 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 23 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 22 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 21 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 21 |
15 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 20 |
16 | Blackpool | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 20 |
17 | Stevenage | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 19 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 16 |
21 | Leyton Orient | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 11 |
24 | Burton Albion | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |