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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 55.55%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 22.54% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-2 (5.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Peterborough United | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
55.55% ( -0.74) | 21.91% ( 0.1) | 22.54% ( 0.65) |
Both teams to score 59.15% ( 0.58) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.34% ( 0.36) | 39.66% ( -0.36) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.98% ( 0.37) | 62.01% ( -0.37) |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.79% ( -0.11) | 14.21% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.07% ( -0.22) | 41.93% ( 0.22) |
Wigan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.95% ( 0.77) | 31.05% ( -0.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.63% ( 0.89) | 67.37% ( -0.89) |
Score Analysis |
Peterborough United | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 8.4% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.26% Total : 55.55% | 1-1 @ 10.06% 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.9% | 1-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 5.16% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.77% Total : 22.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 24 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 42 | 17 | 25 | 56 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 54 |
3 | Wrexham | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 48 |
5 | Barnsley | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 42 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 41 |
7 | Reading | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 41 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 38 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 38 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 37 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 35 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 34 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 34 |
14 | Blackpool | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 31 |
15 | Stevenage | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Exeter CityExeter | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 31 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 30 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 28 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 26 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 26 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 25 | 44 | -19 | 21 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 20 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 45 | -21 | 18 |
24 | Burton Albion | 25 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
> League One Full Table |