MX23RW : Wednesday, May 1 06:49:04| >> :600:812601:812601:
Peterborough United
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 7, 2024 at 2pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Leeds logo

Peterborough
0 - 3
Leeds


Knight (35')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ampadu (34', 90'), Bamford (47')
Gnonto (39'), Ampadu (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Peterborough United and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 3-0 Birmingham
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Peterborough United 2-3 Leeds United

A bit of a bold prediction in terms of the scoreline, but we just fancy goals in this contest, with Leeds just coming out on top. Peterborough have so much quality in the advanced areas, and the same can also be said for Leeds, even if Farke, as is expected, rests some important players. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 43.71%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.07%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawLeeds United
43.71% (0.232 0.23) 23.27% (0.113 0.11) 33.02% (-0.345 -0.34)
Both teams to score 63.25% (-0.558 -0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.85% (-0.67400000000001 -0.67)38.15% (0.673 0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.58% (-0.721 -0.72)60.42% (0.72 0.72)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.12% (-0.17700000000001 -0.18)17.88% (0.178 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.34% (-0.307 -0.31)48.66% (0.306 0.31)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.02% (-0.509 -0.51)22.97% (0.51 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.23% (-0.756 -0.76)56.76% (0.756 0.76)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 43.71%
    Leeds United 33.02%
    Draw 23.27%
Peterborough UnitedDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 8.95% (0.051 0.05)
1-0 @ 7.07% (0.186 0.19)
2-0 @ 6.09% (0.125 0.13)
3-1 @ 5.14%
3-2 @ 3.78% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.49% (0.053 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.21% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.5% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 43.71%
1-1 @ 10.4% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 6.58% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.11% (0.131 0.13)
3-3 @ 1.85% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.27%
1-2 @ 7.65% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-1 @ 6.04% (0.104 0.1)
0-2 @ 4.44% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.75% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-3 @ 3.23% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.18% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.38% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.19% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 33.02%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Leeds

Peterborough United
18.4%
Draw
12.2%
Leeds United
69.4%
49
Head to Head
Jul 23, 2016 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Peterborough
2-1
Leeds
Coulthirst (48', 65')
Mowatt (15')
Aug 25, 2012 3pm
Peterborough
1-2
Leeds
Bostwick (73')
Sinclair (28'), Zakuani (41'), Little (70'), Swanson (83')
Becchio (7', 50')
Apr 14, 2012 3pm
Leeds
4-1
Peterborough
McCormack (47', 48'), Paynter (45', 73')

McCann (22'), Brisley (43')
Oct 22, 2011 12pm
Peterborough
2-3
Leeds
Zakuani (23'), Little (88')
Frecklington (31'), McCann (60')
Tomlin (37')
Clayton (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
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2Manchester CityMan City34247382325079
3Liverpool35229477364175
4Aston Villa35207873522167
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs33186967521560
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd34166125251154
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle341651374551953
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham351310125665-949
9Chelsea33139116359448
10Bournemouth35139135260-848
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35137154855-746
12Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton341111125257-544
13Fulham35127165155-443
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton35128153748-1136
16Brentford3598185260-835
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3579194262-2026
18Luton TownLuton3567224877-2925
19Burnley3559213870-3224
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd3537253497-6316


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