Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.96%) and 0-2 (5.54%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 2-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Peterborough United in this match.