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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 40.95%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.87%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 2-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Burton Albion | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
34.77% ( -2.77) | 24.28% ( -0.72) | 40.95% ( 3.5) |
Both teams to score 60.06% ( 2.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.45% ( 3.12) | 42.55% ( -3.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.04% ( 3.03) | 64.96% ( -3.03) |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.94% ( -0.08) | 24.06% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.66% ( -0.12) | 58.34% ( 0.12) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.09% ( 3.12) | 20.91% ( -3.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.37% ( 4.66) | 53.63% ( -4.65) |
Score Analysis |
Burton Albion | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
2-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.39) 1-0 @ 7.17% ( -1.06) 2-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.77) 3-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.37) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.91% Total : 34.77% | 1-1 @ 11.21% ( -0.52) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.28) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.73) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.2) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.28% | 1-2 @ 8.78% ( 0.41) 0-1 @ 7.87% ( -0.34) 0-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.3) 1-3 @ 4.58% ( 0.6) 2-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.42) 0-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.43) 1-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.37) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.26) 0-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.27) Other @ 2.76% Total : 40.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 26 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 44 | 18 | 26 | 60 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 28 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 58 |
3 | Wrexham | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 24 | 17 | 52 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 23 | 16 | 48 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 28 | 15 | 47 |
6 | Leyton Orient | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 40 | 24 | 16 | 44 |
7 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 44 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 43 |
9 | Barnsley | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 42 |
10 | Reading | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 41 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 38 |
12 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 37 |
13 | Blackpool | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 37 |
14 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 37 |
15 | Stevenage | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 37 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 33 |
17 | Exeter CityExeter | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 32 |
18 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 30 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 28 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 27 |
21 | Burton Albion | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 24 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 24 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 28 | 49 | -21 | 21 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 26 | 47 | -21 | 20 |
> League One Full Table |