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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 62.44%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 16.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Plymouth Argyle.
Result | ||
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Morecambe |
62.44% ( 0.51) | 21.06% ( -0.23) | 16.49% ( -0.28) |
Both teams to score 51.4% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.15% ( 0.48) | 44.85% ( -0.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.79% ( 0.46) | 67.21% ( -0.46) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.22% ( 0.31) | 13.78% ( -0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.91% ( 0.61) | 41.08% ( -0.61) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.61% ( -0.07) | 40.38% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23% ( -0.06) | 77% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Morecambe |
1-0 @ 11.02% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 10.93% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.84% Total : 62.44% | 1-1 @ 10% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.01% Total : 21.06% | 0-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0) Other @ 1.9% Total : 16.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 53 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 50 | 27 | 23 | 51 |
3 | Wrexham | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 37 | 18 | 19 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 47 |
5 | Barnsley | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 42 |
6 | Reading | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 41 |
7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 37 |
9 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 37 |
10 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 37 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 34 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 31 |
14 | Stevenage | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 31 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Blackpool | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 30 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 27 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 26 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 25 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 25 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 20 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 17 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 17 |
24 | Burton Albion | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 14 |
> League One Full Table |