MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 13:45:21| >> :600:386509:386509:
Grimsby Town
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Blundell Park
Plymouth Argyle

Grimsby Town
5 - 1
Plymouth

Smith (10'), Efete (33'), Kiernan (39', 58'), Glennon (45+7')
Khan (49'), Smith (87')
FT(HT: 4-1)
Randell (5')
Butcher (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Grimsby Town and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hartlepool 2-1 Grimsby Town
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Plymouth 4-2 Exeter
Monday, October 31 at 8pm in League One

We said: Grimsby Town 0-2 Plymouth Argyle

Plymouth Argyle are in red-hot form, and they should be able to sail through to the second round. Grimsby Town have not won in three games, and we cannot see this run ending against the team that are top of the division above. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawPlymouth Argyle
33.92% (0.037999999999997 0.04) 24.72% (0.014999999999997 0.01) 41.37% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 58.29% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.23% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)44.77% (0.055 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.87% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)67.13% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.4% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)25.6% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)60.47% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.34% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)21.66% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.2% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)54.8% (0.073 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 33.92%
    Plymouth Argyle 41.37%
    Draw 24.71%
Grimsby TownDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-1 @ 7.88% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 7.56% (0.017 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.15% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.58% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 2.34% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.22% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 33.92%
1-1 @ 11.55% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.02% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 5.54% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.71%
1-2 @ 8.84% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
0-1 @ 8.48% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 4.51% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.31% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.07% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.72% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.27% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.17% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 41.37%

How you voted: Grimsby Town vs Plymouth

Grimsby Town
14.3%
Draw
23.8%
Plymouth Argyle
61.9%
21
Head to Head
Mar 3, 2020 7.45pm
Nov 4, 2017 3pm
May 6, 2017 5.30pm
Grimsby Town
1-1
Plymouth
Pearson (1')
Disley (54'), Jones (75'), Pearson (79'), Dyson (93')
Spencer (61')
Fox (76')
Nov 19, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
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