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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 49.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 24.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Port Vale | Draw | Burton Albion |
49.6% ( 5) | 25.51% ( -0.86) | 24.88% ( -4.15) |
Both teams to score 50.18% ( -0.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.18% ( 0.77) | 52.82% ( -0.77) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.56% ( 0.65) | 74.44% ( -0.65) |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.69% ( 2.61) | 21.31% ( -2.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.74% ( 3.87) | 54.26% ( -3.87) |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.78% ( -2.95) | 36.22% ( 2.96) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.99% ( -3.13) | 73.01% ( 3.13) |
Score Analysis |
Port Vale | Draw | Burton Albion |
1-0 @ 11.93% ( 0.55) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.41) 2-0 @ 9.23% ( 1.08) 3-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.55) 3-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.87) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 1.87% ( 0.34) 4-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.45) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.39% Total : 49.6% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( -0.41) 0-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.92% Total : 25.5% | 0-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.92) 1-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.74) 0-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.84) 1-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.45) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.42) Other @ 1.87% Total : 24.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
3 | Wrexham | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 42 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 39 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 36 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 31 |
7 | Reading | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 31 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 31 |
9 | Barnsley | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 30 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 28 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 27 |
12 | Blackpool | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 27 |
14 | Stevenage | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 26 |
15 | Leyton Orient | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 25 |
16 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 24 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 24 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 23 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 22 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 12 |
> League One Full Table |