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Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Reading logo

Port Vale
1 - 0
Reading

Garrity (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Carroll (45+6'), Wing (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Port Vale and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 3-2 Fleetwood
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Millwall 0-4 Reading
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

We said: Port Vale 1-2 Reading

Both sides would have taken confidence from their midweek cup victories, and they will now be looking to claim three points for the first time this season. While off-field issues have hampered their recruitment, Reading can still field a strong side, and we think that they will have enough quality to edge out Port Vale on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 49.04%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Reading had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawReading
49.04% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 25.96% (0.0010000000000012 0) 25% (-0.02 -0.02)
Both teams to score 48.98% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.55% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)54.44% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.19% (-0.012 -0.01)75.81% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)22.23% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.34% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)55.65% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.98% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)37.01% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.19% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)73.8% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 49.04%
    Reading 25%
    Draw 25.95%
Port ValeDrawReading
1-0 @ 12.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.25%
3-0 @ 4.66% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 4.64% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.75% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 49.04%
1-1 @ 12.29%
0-0 @ 8.23% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 4.6% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 8.18% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-2 @ 6.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 4.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.35% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 25%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Reading

Port Vale
33.3%
Draw
16.7%
Reading
50.0%
6
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
22Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814


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