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Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Reading logo

Port Vale
1 - 0
Reading

Garrity (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Carroll (45+6'), Wing (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Port Vale and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 3-2 Fleetwood
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Millwall 0-4 Reading
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

We said: Port Vale 1-2 Reading

Both sides would have taken confidence from their midweek cup victories, and they will now be looking to claim three points for the first time this season. While off-field issues have hampered their recruitment, Reading can still field a strong side, and we think that they will have enough quality to edge out Port Vale on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 49.04%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Reading had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawReading
49.04% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 25.96% (0.0010000000000012 0) 25% (-0.02 -0.02)
Both teams to score 48.98% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.55% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)54.44% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.19% (-0.012 -0.01)75.81% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)22.23% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.34% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)55.65% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.98% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)37.01% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.19% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)73.8% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 49.04%
    Reading 25%
    Draw 25.95%
Port ValeDrawReading
1-0 @ 12.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.25%
3-0 @ 4.66% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 4.64% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.75% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 49.04%
1-1 @ 12.29%
0-0 @ 8.23% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 4.6% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 8.18% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-2 @ 6.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 4.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.35% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 25%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Reading

Port Vale
33.3%
Draw
16.7%
Reading
50.0%
6
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe16122236181838
2Wrexham17104326111534
3Birmingham CityBirmingham15103228151333
4Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield1692525151029
6Barnsley177642622427
7Reading168352624227
8Bolton WanderersBolton168352526-127
9Lincoln CityLincoln177552321226
10Mansfield TownMansfield157352017324
11Exeter CityExeter167271415-123
12Charlton AthleticCharlton166461717022
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
14Bristol Rovers176381723-621
15Wigan AthleticWigan165561513220
16Blackpool175572430-620
17Stevenage165471116-519
18Northampton TownNorthampton174671923-418
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient164391420-615
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge163491425-1113
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion1615101529-148


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