League One | Gameweek 5
Aug 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Port Vale1 - 0Carlisle
Wilson (50' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the League One clash between Port Vale and Carlisle United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Charlton 2-3 Port Vale
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Carlisle 0-2 Exeter
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in League One
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 39.3%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (10.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Carlisle United |
32.51% ( 0) | 28.19% ( -0.03) | 39.3% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 46.82% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
