Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 47.89%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 25.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for a Port Vale win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.