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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 61.23%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Reading had a probability of 16.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.18%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Reading win it was 1-0 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Peterborough United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Peterborough United.
Result | ||
Reading | Draw | Peterborough United |
16.92% ( -0.51) | 21.85% ( -0.41) | 61.23% ( 0.92) |
Both teams to score 49.78% ( 0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.53% ( 0.88) | 47.47% ( -0.88) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.32% ( 0.81) | 69.68% ( -0.81) |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.57% ( -0.1) | 41.42% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.07% ( -0.09) | 77.93% ( 0.09) |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.99% ( 0.59) | 15.01% ( -0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.53% ( 1.12) | 43.47% ( -1.12) |
Score Analysis |
Reading | Draw | Peterborough United |
1-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 1.83% Total : 16.92% | 1-1 @ 10.39% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0) Other @ 0.9% Total : 21.84% | 0-1 @ 11.79% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 11.18% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 9.85% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 7.07% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 6.23% ( 0.14) 0-4 @ 3.35% ( 0.15) 1-4 @ 2.95% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.05) 0-5 @ 1.27% ( 0.08) 1-5 @ 1.12% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.36% Total : 61.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 36 | 18 | 18 | 38 |
2 | Wrexham | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 11 | 15 | 34 |
3 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 33 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 30 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 29 |
6 | Barnsley | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 27 |
7 | Reading | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 27 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 27 |
9 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 26 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 24 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 23 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 22 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 21 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 21 |
15 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 20 |
16 | Blackpool | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 20 |
17 | Stevenage | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 19 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 16 |
21 | Leyton Orient | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 11 |
24 | Burton Albion | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |