Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 40.73%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 33.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Portsmouth in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Portsmouth.