MX23RW : Friday, January 31 15:56:43| >> :600:1173142:1173142:
Torquay United
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 6, 2022 at 3pm UK
Plainmoor Ground
Derby logo

Torquay Utd
2 - 2
Derby

Hall (56' pen.), Goodwin (90+5')
Ellis (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Osula (27', 47')
Sibley (14')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Torquay United and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torquay Utd 6-1 Aldershot
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Morecambe 1-1 Derby
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Torquay United 1-4 Derby County

While Derby have generally been poor in front of goal this season, that could change on Sunday. There will be times when Torquay will rally and play without pressure, but the Rams should ease to victory on the South coast. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 61.7%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Torquay United had a probability of 17.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.81%) and 0-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Torquay United win it was 2-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Torquay UnitedDrawDerby County
17.72% (1.155 1.16) 20.58% (0.645 0.65) 61.7% (-1.797 -1.8)
Both teams to score 55.66% (0.21299999999999 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.51% (-0.9 -0.9)40.49% (0.903 0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.13% (-0.934 -0.93)62.87% (0.937 0.94)
Torquay United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.7% (0.804 0.8)36.3% (-0.801 -0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.91% (0.804 0.8)73.08% (-0.79899999999999 -0.8)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.37% (-0.77500000000001 -0.78)12.63% (0.778 0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.24% (-1.631 -1.63)38.76% (1.634 1.63)
Score Analysis
    Torquay United 17.72%
    Derby County 61.7%
    Draw 20.58%
Torquay UnitedDrawDerby County
2-1 @ 4.87% (0.262 0.26)
1-0 @ 4.65% (0.286 0.29)
2-0 @ 2.35% (0.193 0.19)
3-2 @ 1.7% (0.077 0.08)
3-1 @ 1.65% (0.121 0.12)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 17.72%
1-1 @ 9.61% (0.315 0.32)
2-2 @ 5.04% (0.123 0.12)
0-0 @ 4.58% (0.187 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.58%
1-2 @ 9.95% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 9.81% (-0.186 -0.19)
0-1 @ 9.48% (0.108 0.11)
1-3 @ 6.86% (-0.189 -0.19)
0-3 @ 6.77% (-0.34 -0.34)
1-4 @ 3.55% (-0.21 -0.21)
0-4 @ 3.5% (-0.289 -0.29)
2-3 @ 3.48% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.8% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-5 @ 1.47% (-0.135 -0.14)
0-5 @ 1.45% (-0.168 -0.17)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 61.7%

How you voted: Torquay Utd vs Derby

Torquay United
25.9%
Draw
3.7%
Derby County
70.4%
27
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool22165154213353
2Arsenal23138244212347
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2313553327644
4Manchester CityMan City23125647301741
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle23125641271441
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth23117541261540
8Aston Villa2310763435-137
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2381053531434
10Fulham238963431333
11Brentford2394104240231
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd2385102832-429
13Crystal Palace236982630-427
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs2373134637924
16Everton225891928-923
17Leicester CityLeicester2345142549-2417
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2344153252-2016
19Ipswich TownIpswich2337132147-2616
20Southampton2313191653-376


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!