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League One | Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Select Car Leasing Stadium
Crawley Town

Reading
4 - 1
Crawley

Mbengue (20'), Wing (40'), Savage (65'), Smith (73')
Mbengue (78')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Forster (30')
Anderson (36'), Camara (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Reading and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 2-1 Reading
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Crawley 3-5 Shrewsbury
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in League One

We said: Reading 2-0 Crawley Town

Reading have won four of their five home league matches this season, and we think that they will produce another strong home performance to condemn Crawley to a seventh consecutive defeat in all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.

Result
ReadingDrawCrawley Town
45.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 23.61%30.9% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Both teams to score 60.99% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.29% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)40.7% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.91%63.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.81% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)18.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.82% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)49.17%
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.54% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)25.45% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.71%60.28% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Score Analysis
    Reading 45.48%
    Crawley Town 30.9%
    Draw 23.61%
ReadingDrawCrawley Town
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 7.89%
2-0 @ 6.72% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.23%
3-0 @ 3.82%
3-2 @ 3.58%
4-1 @ 2.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.63%
4-2 @ 1.53%
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 45.48%
1-1 @ 10.79%
2-2 @ 6.3%
0-0 @ 4.63%
3-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.61%
1-2 @ 7.39%
0-1 @ 6.33%
0-2 @ 4.33%
1-3 @ 3.37%
2-3 @ 2.87% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.98%
1-4 @ 1.15%
2-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 30.9%

How you voted: Reading vs Crawley

Reading
81.3%
Draw
6.3%
Crawley Town
12.5%
16
Head to Head
Jul 27, 2015 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Crawley
1-0
Reading
Henderson (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe24156350262451
3Wrexham25156437181951
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield23135536191744
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2311483534137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Stevenage238781820-231
14Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
15Blackpool247983235-330
16Rotherham UnitedRotherham237792123-228
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2445152444-2017
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814


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