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League One | Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Select Car Leasing Stadium
Crawley Town

Reading
4 - 1
Crawley

Mbengue (20'), Wing (40'), Savage (65'), Smith (73')
Mbengue (78')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Forster (30')
Anderson (36'), Camara (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Reading and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 2-1 Reading
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Crawley 3-5 Shrewsbury
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in League One

We said: Reading 2-0 Crawley Town

Reading have won four of their five home league matches this season, and we think that they will produce another strong home performance to condemn Crawley to a seventh consecutive defeat in all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.

Result
ReadingDrawCrawley Town
45.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 23.61%30.9% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Both teams to score 60.99% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.29% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)40.7% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.91%63.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.81% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)18.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.82% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)49.17%
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.54% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)25.45% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.71%60.28% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Score Analysis
    Reading 45.48%
    Crawley Town 30.9%
    Draw 23.61%
ReadingDrawCrawley Town
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 7.89%
2-0 @ 6.72% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.23%
3-0 @ 3.82%
3-2 @ 3.58%
4-1 @ 2.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.63%
4-2 @ 1.53%
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 45.48%
1-1 @ 10.79%
2-2 @ 6.3%
0-0 @ 4.63%
3-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.61%
1-2 @ 7.39%
0-1 @ 6.33%
0-2 @ 4.33%
1-3 @ 3.37%
2-3 @ 2.87% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.98%
1-4 @ 1.15%
2-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 30.9%

How you voted: Reading vs Crawley

Reading
81.3%
Draw
6.3%
Crawley Town
12.5%
16
Head to Head
Jul 27, 2015 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Crawley
1-0
Reading
Henderson (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe16122236181838
2Wrexham17104326111534
3Birmingham CityBirmingham15103228151333
4Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield1692525151029
6Barnsley177642622427
7Reading168352624227
8Bolton WanderersBolton168352526-127
9Lincoln CityLincoln177552321226
10Mansfield TownMansfield157352017324
11Exeter CityExeter167271415-123
12Charlton AthleticCharlton166461717022
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
14Bristol Rovers176381723-621
15Wigan AthleticWigan165561513220
16Blackpool175572430-620
17Stevenage165471116-519
18Northampton TownNorthampton174671923-418
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient164391420-615
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge163491425-1113
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion1615101529-148


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