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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wycombe Wanderers win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wycombe Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wycombe Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Wycombe Wanderers | Draw | Crawley Town |
43.33% ( -0) | 24.03% ( -0) | 32.64% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 60.31% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.06% ( 0) | 41.94% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.65% ( 0) | 64.34% ( -0) |
Wycombe Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.42% | 19.58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.49% | 51.51% |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75% ( 0) | 25% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.34% ( 0) | 59.66% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Wycombe Wanderers | Draw | Crawley Town |
2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.98% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.51% 3-1 @ 4.9% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.54% 3-2 @ 3.4% 4-1 @ 2% 4-0 @ 1.44% 4-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.15% Total : 43.33% | 1-1 @ 11.06% 2-2 @ 6.25% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.9% 3-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.02% | 1-2 @ 7.67% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.79% 0-2 @ 4.7% 1-3 @ 3.54% 2-3 @ 2.89% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.17% 1-4 @ 1.23% 2-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.64% Total : 32.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 25 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 43 | 18 | 25 | 57 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 54 |
3 | Wrexham | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 52 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 48 |
5 | Barnsley | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 42 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 41 |
7 | Reading | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 41 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 38 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 38 |
10 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 37 |
11 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 37 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 35 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 34 |
14 | Exeter CityExeter | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 32 |
15 | Blackpool | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Stevenage | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 31 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 30 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 28 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 27 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 26 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 25 | 44 | -19 | 21 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 20 |
23 | Burton Albion | 26 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 23 | 40 | -17 | 18 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 45 | -21 | 18 |
> League One Full Table |