League One | Gameweek 8
Sep 28, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Crawley0 - 2Bolton
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Wrexham 2-1 Crawley
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Arsenal 5-1 Bolton
Wednesday, September 25 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Wednesday, September 25 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
We said: Crawley Town 1-2 Bolton Wanderers
With little to separate these two sides heading into Saturday's game, the knock-on effect of Crawley losing their manager could just swing this game narrowly in the favour of Bolton, but given the recent defensive frailties of the visitors, it would be a surprise if they kept a clean sheet on the road this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 47.8%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.54%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
29.24% ( 0.04) | 22.95% ( 0.02) | 47.8% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 62.34% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
